Help me out Srainhoutx, what does this mean? This addresses the potential convective elements with this event. Remember there has been some mention of thunder freezing rain and thundersleet potential with this Winter Weather event as the Coastal low/trough develops and the short wave approaches fro...

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1122 AM CST MON MAR 03 2014 VALID 041200Z - 051200Z ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST... ...SYNOPSIS... PROGRESSIVE QUASI-ZONAL SYNOPTIC REGIME WILL PREVAIL TUESDAY. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER THE SWRN U.S. WILL REACH CNTRL/SRN TX EARLY TU...

srainhoutx, How much more Moisture can we expect?

Temps starting to drop. down to 54 was 58 about 45 mins ago.

[quote="srainhoutx"]Let's compare the current observations ~vs~ what the 18Z HIRES NAM suggests is happening at the moment.
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HMM...

My initial observations looking out across TX and OK today are that the airmass is not as cold as the models had been predicting a few days ago. This is why the models have trended a little warmer with temps in the past few runs. I'm not too hopeful of seeing any snow in central Houston tomorrow. C...

Just went to lunch and I was reminded of the old wisdom of Harold Taft, and that was 'always remember to look out the window, or better yet, step outside, before issuing a forecast'. Clouds are thickening-up outside and they already have that 'virga' look to them. It does not take much moisture in ...

NWS still shows my area with a 70% chance of Wintey MIX/Frezzing Rain/Sleet and Snow for the day tomorrow. then drops to 20% tomorrow night. High Tuesday only 32. SO they must feel confident. Wen can we expect these soundings from A&M, I saw where UH is sending balloons Tomorrow.

Should we stop watching models about now and start watching real data as the event nears? Models are but a tool. Let me go to a different forum and see what the smartest guy on that sub-forum thinks. We don't get regular visits from any kind of tagger on that thread, but a certain poster from Mexic...

Hello All, Longtime lurker. I just wanted to say I am one that really appreciates this board and all the Mets that post here. over the years I have always gotten great info from here, especially IKE. Over the years i can say that predicting Winter weather in Houston is like playing the lottery.Model...