694 FXUS64 KHGX 101814 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 114 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 111 PM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 -Isolated to scattered showers and storms are expected this afternoon, main...

How much longer will the mostly quiet tropical Atlantic stay mostly quiet? Plus, a look at more flooding potential today The Eyewall Jul 10 READ IN APP In brief: More flash flooding may occur today for parts of the Mid-Atlantic or New England, as well as back into much of Iowa. The tropics are quiet...

598 FXUS64 KHGX 101138 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 638 AM CDT Thu Jul 10 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 117 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 - Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms can be expected each day through the upcoming we...

424 FXUS64 KHGX 091819 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 119 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 117 PM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 - Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms continue across Southeast...

In brief: Deadly flooding hit parts of New Mexico yesterday, while significant street flooding occurred in Chicago. Flooding risks should cover the Carolinas through New Jersey today, with a focus on Virginia perhaps. The tropics remain calm. More flooding, more places If you live in Ruidoso, New Me...

925 FXUS64 KHGX 091059 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 559 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1111 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 - Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected each day through the upcoming weeke...

403 FXUS64 KHGX 081807 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 107 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 107 PM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 - Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected each day through...

Avery Tomasco

Because there is a mix of tropical and national weather, I am putting it here. In brief: The tropics remain calm, but we're watching the Gulf next week -- sort of. We have the latest on Texas flooding and some thoughts on mitigation. Also, flooding is possible in the Mid-Atlantic and New England tod...

875 FXUS64 KHGX 081108 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 608 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1202 AM CDT Tue Jul 8 2025 - Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected each day through this week. - Isola...

854 FXUS64 KHGX 071647 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 1147 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 ...New MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1136 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 - A daily risk of showers and thunderstorms continues through the end of the week. Not every location...

The 12:45 Radar

Not sure where to put this, so I will stick it here.... The Eyewall Chantal floods North Carolina further underscoring the need to monitor forecast adjustments ahead of events By Matt Lanza on July 7, 2025 In brief: Tropical Storm Chantal's remnants brought record flooding to parts of North Carolina...

and it continues...

That warm core is at it again. At least on the front part of the week, there is nothing to dislodge it.

103 FXUS64 KHGX 071103 AFDHGX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 603 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1218 AM CDT Mon Jul 7 2025 - Expect daily development of showers and thunderstorms through the end of the week, peaking in the ...

Jeff Lindner ( When you read this, both amateur and pro mets alike, you just gasp)

Steve McCauley

Jeff Lindner

WPC Update