Search found 589 matches

by weatherguy425
Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:13 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2020:
Replies: 1222
Views: 37869

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit. That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w. It may be interesting to wa...
by weatherguy425
Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:03 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2020:
Replies: 1222
Views: 37869

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Scott747 wrote:
Sun Sep 20, 2020 8:58 am
This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit.
by weatherguy425
Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:45 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2020:
Replies: 1222
Views: 37869

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

I guess the dry air is what could possibly keep most of the precipitation offshore and we could end up getting very little action? Who knows? Dry air southwesterly wind shear. But, storm structure is hard to predict and can certainly evolve over time even after landfall (if it happens). Like you sa...
by weatherguy425
Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:11 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2020:
Replies: 1222
Views: 37869

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Dry air is already encroaching on Beta’s circulation without an inner core developed. Of course, we can’t turn our back - but another inhibiting factor. Its not forecasted to be a hurricane till tomorrow..plenty of time for it to get its act together...but since you are a pro ill lean more towards ...
by weatherguy425
Sat Sep 19, 2020 8:03 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2020:
Replies: 1222
Views: 37869

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Dry air is already encroaching on Beta’s circulation without an inner core developed. Of course, we can’t turn our back - but another inhibiting factor.
by weatherguy425
Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:24 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2020:
Replies: 1222
Views: 37869

Re: September 2020

Scott747 wrote:
Wed Sep 16, 2020 12:01 pm
12z HWRF goes in around Houma at hr 93 as a moderate TS.
A bit further west-west of Vermilion Bay. This one is certainly one to watch… Almost Frances ‘98 - esque In some ways.
by weatherguy425
Thu Aug 27, 2020 12:29 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2020:
Replies: 1222
Views: 37869

Re: September 2020

Now being monitored by the NHC...
by weatherguy425
Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:32 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 70013

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

Cpv17 wrote:
Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:28 pm
weatherguy425 wrote:
Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:27 pm
Cpv17 wrote:
Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:25 pm


Yeah that nw quadrant of the Gulf will take a while to recover but I don’t think the rest of the Gulf will have too much of a problem recovering.
Yep! Only referring to the area impacted by Laura. :)
The ridging over the Atlantic looks scary for the Gulf.
Certainly something to watch!
by weatherguy425
Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:27 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 70013

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

There will be more threats over the next month. Let’s just hope for something weak, but honestly that’s not looking likely. The Gulf should recover from Laura within a week or so. Upwelling will be very significant. Water temperatures will still support significant storms, but Laura is going to coo...
by weatherguy425
Wed Aug 26, 2020 3:22 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 70013

Re: August 2020: Tracking Laura

How pathetic. All that wonderful rain wasted on useless boonies... There will be more threats over the next month. Let’s just hope for something weak, but honestly that’s not looking likely. The Gulf should recover from Laura within a week or so. Upwelling will be very significant. Water temperatur...