Search found 839 matches

by TexasMetBlake
Mon Feb 22, 2010 12:43 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

I really hate to pee in everyone's chili, but "not wishcasting"? C'mon folks. While the majority of the public is ready for spring/warmth....why is it the majority of the people here want snow and ice? I understand about the "excitement" and all, but really.....do you think beca...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 11:42 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

Wx-Man-Fifty-Seven is sleeping right now. But he will likely scroll back to all these pro-snow posts when he awakes, and will pile a layer of dooky on anyone hoping for a white wednesday morning. But hasn't tonight been fun without naysayers??? If no Happiness happens, wasn't it fun to frolic in wi...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 10:46 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

You know back in college, my best friend Robin spelt the word ridiculous with an "e" (rediculous). I made the point that "rediculous" was spelt with an I. We had a good laugh. After a hardy chuckle, we now claim that when one of us is being "extra" ridiculous, we say &q...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 10:28 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

WSW for HGX CWA? Maybe the counties up around Madisonville and CLL that border NWS FWD, IMHO. Maybe one more row of counies South of existing FWD counties. More likely a WWA. Light snow in the air with mid 30s temps and making grass and streets wet probably doesn't trigger much. Maybe as close as H...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 10:20 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

WSW for HGX CWA? Maybe the counties up around Madisonville and CLL that border NWS FWD, IMHO. Maybe one more row of counies South of existing FWD counties. More likely a WWA. Light snow in the air with mid 30s temps and making grass and streets wet probably doesn't trigger much. Maybe as close as H...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 10:12 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

Models are a forecasting TOOL. They are NOT the forecast. Please keep that in mind when calling a blizzard or calling it bogus. Every county in the CWA stands a chance here. For those in Montgomery County northward, I'd say your chance is VERY good.
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 10:07 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

What is it looking like for Montgomery county this time? We got a bit left out on the Dec 4th snow event....does this look like a good bet for folks north side? :?: You won't be left out this time... You have a shot of at least an inch of snow, IMO. Houston Metro definitely has a shot at a dusting,...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 10:04 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

After reviewing this, I'd say we're just a few hours away from being under a Winter Storm Watch for at least a lot of us. Do you think driving conditions will be unsafe and school will be cancelled? hoping...... :D I'm not sure we're ever going to drop below freezing. It's possible. Travel on major...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 9:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

The 0z GFS is noticeably lighter with the QPF, but who cares. It's just a model. Bring on the snow bands. That's what matters. After reviewing this, I'd say we're just a few hours away from being under a Winter Storm Watch for at least a lot of us.
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 9:49 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

WOW, toggle back and forth between 18z and 0z and NOTICE THE DIFFERENCE! Precip a good bit further south at 42 hours...and colder--albeit slightly
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 9:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

I encourage you guys to open up a second tab and load the 18z gfs in one tab and open the 0z gfs in another and toggle back and forth. You can see the sutlte differences...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 9:37 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

0z GFS is running. Stand by..
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 9:28 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

Howdy fellow forum folks I hope you all are having a great weekend. My kids wanted me to ask you guys if you all thought we might get in the snow action here, we are in Santa Fe and Texas City. Thanks all :D The further north you are, the better the snow chances. If I was in Texas City, I'd be worr...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 8:41 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

This run has a lot more moisture sticking around compared to the last couple of runs and it also shows the colder air sinking south faster. Lets hope the GFS trends the same way. The 18z GFS is actually slightly better than the NAM as the GFS had more QPF over the area. I do see, though, that the N...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:59 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

Here's another look at the 12z. It appears that the energy shears out as it pushes across. This is at 500 mb. Keep in mind that the greatest lift is north of the surface low. So the further south this thing goes, the better. http://wxmaps.org/pix/avnmr.vort.html http://wxmaps.org/pix/avnmr.850.html ...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:48 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

I think it is important though to realize that this is just the 18z. If this continues for the 00z then I will be interested. Candy, Idk why it doesn't say any snow or mix. The soundings and snow graphs all paint at least SOME type of mixture- snow. Oh I agree with you, but I feel obligated to spou...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:45 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

not at all candy cane! so what r the odds? less than 20%?..if its around 40-50% ill let him stay if not his butt is going! :D Well if I remember correctly, there were quite a few who thought the heaviest snow on Dec. 4th would be well north of I-10. It ended up being just the opposite with the heav...
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:42 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

Can't help but notice that the 12z GFS has all rain for Houston. It keeps going back and forth. We're right on the brink...

http://68.226.77.253/text/1DegGFS/GFS_Kiah.txt
by TexasMetBlake
Sun Feb 21, 2010 4:39 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February Weather Discussion. Wild Winter Storms?
Replies: 1553
Views: 906194

Re: February Winter Weather Discussion. Wintry Precip Possible?

brazoria_county22 wrote:well so can he ..when he dosent want me to find out he is skipping..but he told me flat out if we have a chance for snow im NOT going lol
Oh come on, dad/mom! How often does it really snow in Houston--TWICE in one season?! To be honest, I can't blame him. But you didn't hear that from me.