Also, just looking at satellite and radar, I do see a potentially very heavy rain/training event setup further south than the excessive rainfall maps. Houston metro needs to keep a watch. Same goes here for MoCo. Yep the HRRR is showing such a scenario. Screenshot 2024-05-16 at 14-02-05 Models HRRR...

Watch coming... mcd0802.png Mesoscale Discussion 0802 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0112 PM CDT Thu May 16 2024 Areas affected...southeast Texas into southwest Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 161812Z - 162045Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY......

I just realized that SPC has issued another ENHANCED risk for severe weather today mainly for damaging winds.There may be a very rough rush hour later today. spcrd1cat.us_sc.png stpcd1wind.us_sc.png Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1133 AM CDT Thu May 16 2024 Valid 1616...

We may have to watch friday closely for more flooding as some of the mesoscale guidance is starting to show yet another disturbance moving in with more heavy rain behind thursdays system I noticed that on the HRRR and FV3. That is what i was referring to when i mentioned on Monday the possibility o...

It will be interesting to see how wet June ends up this year. As June is Houstons wettest month on average. Last year the faucet turned off the last week of May. Not here in Houston, we had several significant severe weather events last June.To be fair though rainfall was still below normal in June...

It will be interesting to see how wet June ends up this year. As June is Houstons wettest month on average.

wpc_excessive_rainfall_dayjh3.us_sc.png Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1201 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Day 3 Valid 12Z Thu May 16 2024 - 12Z Fri May 17 2024 ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN...

HGX already mentioning Thursday.

The next storm system to watch is this Thursday,we may see another MCS.It's nice having a normal Spring for once. rgem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_76.png What are you seeing after though? Looks like a quiet period to me. Well Friday and or Saturday may end up stormy also as the frontal boundary will still ...

The next storm system to watch is this Thursday,we may see another MCS.It's nice having a normal Spring for once.

Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 233 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 TXC201-291-339-131945- /O.CON.KHGX.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-240513T1945Z/ Montgomery TX-Liberty TX-Harris TX- 233 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CD...

Storms are getting stronger out there as they move towards SE Texas... Screenshot 2024-05-13 at 13-15-44 NWS Radar.png ww0237_overview_wou.gif BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 237 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 100 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2024...

Watch coming. mcd0767.png Mesoscale Discussion 0767 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1239 PM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Areas affected...southern Texas into southwestern Louisiana Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely Valid 131739Z - 131945Z Probability of Watch Issuance...9...

IMG_0023.png IMG_0025.png IMG_0024.png South central TX to southern LA through tonight... A cluster of supercells formed this morning and is approaching areas near and south of San Antonio as of 16z. Extreme buoyancy (MUCAPE of 4000-6000 J/kg), steep midlevel lapse rates and strong deep-layer verti...

An ENHANCED risk has been issued for today.... spcd1cat.us_sc (2).png spcd1hail.us_sc (1).png spcd1wind.us_sc (1).png NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 AM CDT Mon May 13 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL TX TO THE...

0Z HRRR for tomorrow.

Tomorrow looks "fun"... LOL 👀 As supercells congeal into a potent MCS and move through our area. SPC mentions an enhanced risk may be coming. Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 14-30-42 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 14-30-55 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png Screenshot 2...

Tornado watch issued.The HRRR shows more storms developing in the metro in a few hours along a warm front. ww0233_overview_wou.gif Screenshot 2024-05-12 at 13-24-47 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weather.png URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 233 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK...

Something to watch very closely, at least one mesoscale model in this case the WRF, suggests a really heavy rain band could set up over the city late sunday night- monday with another line of storms on tuesday, impressive totals on this model, something to watch for fwiw Edit: The 00z GFS keeps a v...