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Looks like its going to be a non event for much of se texas with the exception of northern counties, i really sont see much development out west, mostly NE near college station Are y'all looking at mesoscale models?🤷‍♂️ The storms to the Northeast are the same storms that will congeal into a MCS an...

There may be some strong thunderstorms late tonight for areas along and east of I-45 .As the storm clusters to the north eventually form into a MCS and moves southeast with the frontal boundary. It's MCS season in the southern plains...😉 Screenshot 2024-04-28 at 16-17-00 Models HRRR - Pivotal Weathe...

12Z EURO vs 12Z GFS, same story different day LOL.

Today's 12Z EURO vs 12Z GFS

12Z EURO VS 12Z GFS

Models are trending weaker with ridging over Mexico & the Gulf, and are now showing more precip in SE Texas next week than earlier runs.This may cause the subtropical jet to orientate further south in the state.Allowing disturbances to move over Central & East/Southeast Texas next week.We'll...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Apr 20, 2024 8:49 pm Maybe a line of storms looks like its beginning to develop near the hill country, hopefully those can hold together as they progress eastward over the next several hours

That's the weak MCS that's developed as forecast.Should be in the metro area in a couple of hours.

It now looks like a MCS will be coming though tomorrow night.

Things look pretty wet tomorrow evening/night especially north of I-10.

We had snow this afternoon across our higher elevations with a mix of rain and snow at the house. More cold expected late next week. That probably spells a severe weather potential across portions of Texas. You must be at a very high elevation cuz it’s not supposed to snow that far south in mid Apr...

The next potential severe weather/heavy rain event to watch locally is around the 20th of the month.As another slow moving front moves in with an active subtropical jet.

Updated LOCAL severe weather reports from Wednesday morning.Numerous reports of wind damage in SE Texas and two confirmed tornadoes.

CAM's or Short-term models didn't do a good job at all with initializing these severe thunderstorms off to the northeast of the Houston area now... COD-NEXRAD-HGX (1).png I think this poorly modeled convection I alluded to last night contaminated the warm sector under the Moderate Risk earlier than...

Storm reports locally. Could have been worse, looks like the moderate tornado risk to the east of us isn't panning out also which is good news. 😉 Cabbpture.PNG Capdture.PNG I’ve noticed a lot of the risks for severe weather aren’t really panning out. Not that I’m complaining, just something I’ve no...

Not a surprise at all that a tornado happened in Katy last night.When i saw the velocity couplet last night on radar i was scratching my head wondering why HGX only had a severe thunderstorm warning on it.

Storm reports locally. Could have been worse, looks like the moderate tornado risk to the east of us isn't panning out also which is good news.