I'm starting to buy in more with the various forecast showing Texas being one of the hotspots this year. I am very concern with the persistent weakness that has been over the state the last month or so. The continuation of this pattern through May could cause a feedback loop, with saturated soils ov...

We're having a classic Tornado Season this year. With the majority of severe weather happening in the southern and central plains instead of Dixie Alley.

We'll see a break from the rain over the next couple of days.But we may not have to wait long for the next significant storm system.As a cutoff trough moves in next weekend, we could see several rounds of heavy rain again...

Another round of heavy rain moving into the metro area again with more behind it developing...

Dls2010r wrote: ↑ We’re sunny with very little rain in Santa Fe.

The sun peaking out is just adding fuel to the fire for the storms to the west/southwest.

Dls2010r wrote: ↑ Has anyone heard from Montgomery aka thunder sleet?

He is still here,but he moved to Weimar,Texas in Colorado county.

More storms are developing to the Southwest.

Getting concerned for Houston.Traning is setting up along I-10. It’s raining crazy heavy outside.

WPC mentions the moderate risk may be expanded south in future updates. wpc_excessive_rainfall_d5ay2.us_sc.png imreeage1.png Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 354 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Day 2 Valid 12Z Sun May 05 2024 - 12Z Mon May 06 2024 ...THERE IS A MODER...

0z HRRR has a bullseye of 10+ inches in Harris county fwiw. I'm not concerned about it yet but I'll be watching to see if future runs continue to show it.

It’s, in large part, the latitude of the Houston metro area. While only a few degrees difference, the lower latitude often precludes some low pressure systems from the Midwest from reaching as far south as especially the coastal areas. There is a marked difference in relative humidity % between Hou...

Thanks for all of the great information. I never actually looked into it. I just assumed that the Beaumont area and the Houston area received about the same amounts, sometimes one more than the other. That is true also,sometimes Houston sees a big flood and nothing happens in the Golden Triangle an...

It’s, in large part, the latitude of the Houston metro area. While only a few degrees difference, the lower latitude often precludes some low pressure systems from the Midwest from reaching as far south as especially the coastal areas. There is a marked difference in relative humidity % between Hou...

It does rain here a lot, but I thought the Houston area got just as much, or at least similar. Houston gets a lot of rain but Beaumont gets more.Though both the Houston metro area and the golden triangle are some of the wettest areas of the country overall.As most parts of the country get less than...

The 0Z HRRR shows 3 separate disturbances moving through SE Texas over the next 48 hours. One early tomorrow morning,another one tomorrow evening, and the third on Saturday morning.FWIW

It's feast or famine. 3.83 inches from the latest MCV this morning. That is 10.24 inches of rain for the week! Welcome to Texas! We'll continue to see a ramping up of extremes in Texas over the coming years. Longer periods of drought in the summer and more flooding rains. Stratton - you must be thi...

The Next MCS may be tomorrow morning.And some models are already sniffing out another potent disturbance moving in on Sunday.So for those who haven't seen much rain yet there is still opportunities for more rain coming up.This is the way Spring is suppose to be in Texas.Below is what I posted last W...

Yep models always struggle here when you're dealing with numerous disturbances moving in along the subtropical jet into the state.Kudos to the EURO for showing heavy rainfall amounts over SE Texas several days ago.While the GFS was much drier here.

Don its not that I dont like rain, I just would prefer to have it all spread out and not all at once, any how a dry period looks to be taking shaping after friday, good! Doesn't seem like that to me. Literately every time it rains you complain about it.Even though we've had more than enough sunshin...

You know I wouldnt mine a good month of dry weather now, everything is so waterlogged, i definitely dont need anymore rain after today for a while You should move to west Texas, you live in the wrong area to not like rain LOL.SE Texas is literately the wettest part of the state.As i said a while ag...