- wpc_qprf_168h_p.us_sc.png (426.08 KiB) Viewed 115 times
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- Sat May 11, 2024 3:25 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
- Sat May 11, 2024 3:24 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
sgpcd3cat.us_sc.png Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0237 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024 Valid 131200Z - 141200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are possible M...
- Fri May 10, 2024 7:48 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
- Fri May 10, 2024 5:29 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
Mesocale models so far are rather unimpressed with much rain down here on mothers day, HRRR, WRF and NAM models keep most of the rain on sunday to our north and east, not a lot of action across se texas Edit: Mesocales stop at sunday night after 48 hours, will see in another day what they show mond...
- Fri May 10, 2024 5:11 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
Today's 12Z Global Models
- Thu May 09, 2024 6:28 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
18Z GFS
- Thu May 09, 2024 5:12 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
Technically models show the corridor of disturbances further south than they did last time.For example the Euro has disturbances originating further south in South central Texas before moving east along the I-10 corridor.(FWIW) It's important to not get hung up on QPF amounts and locations in this r...
- Thu May 09, 2024 2:50 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
12Z global models (GFS,EURO,CANADIAN)
- Wed May 08, 2024 2:32 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
The wet pattern will return this weekend into next week, rainfall amounts and locations are subject to change of course. (12Z GFS VS 12Z EURO)
- Mon May 06, 2024 5:47 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
- Replies: 58
- Views: 25198
Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
I'm starting to buy in more with the various forecast showing Texas being one of the hotspots this year. I am very concern with the persistent weakness that has been over the state the last month or so. The continuation of this pattern through May could cause a feedback loop, with saturated soils ov...
- Mon May 06, 2024 5:08 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
We're having a classic Tornado Season this year. With the majority of severe weather happening in the southern and central plains instead of Dixie Alley.
- Sun May 05, 2024 6:51 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
We'll see a break from the rain over the next couple of days.But we may not have to wait long for the next significant storm system.As a cutoff trough moves in next weekend, we could see several rounds of heavy rain again...
- Sun May 05, 2024 1:18 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
Another round of heavy rain moving into the metro area again with more behind it developing...
- Sun May 05, 2024 11:11 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
- Sun May 05, 2024 11:05 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
- Sun May 05, 2024 10:49 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
More storms are developing to the Southwest.
- Sun May 05, 2024 10:43 am
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
Getting concerned for Houston.Traning is setting up along I-10. It’s raining crazy heavy outside.
- Sat May 04, 2024 3:57 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
WPC mentions the moderate risk may be expanded south in future updates. wpc_excessive_rainfall_d5ay2.us_sc.png imreeage1.png Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 354 PM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Day 2 Valid 12Z Sun May 05 2024 - 12Z Mon May 06 2024 ...THERE IS A MODER...
- Fri May 03, 2024 10:58 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
0z HRRR has a bullseye of 10+ inches in Harris county fwiw. I'm not concerned about it yet but I'll be watching to see if future runs continue to show it.
- Fri May 03, 2024 4:50 pm
- Forum: Weather Forum
- Topic: May 2024
- Replies: 277
- Views: 14474
Re: May 2024
It’s, in large part, the latitude of the Houston metro area. While only a few degrees difference, the lower latitude often precludes some low pressure systems from the Midwest from reaching as far south as especially the coastal areas. There is a marked difference in relative humidity % between Hou...