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Tropical storm warnings and a flash flood watch have been issued. Local NWS is calling for peak rainfall amounts of 8-12+ inches. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours * WIND -...

NHC now forecasting Beta to stay a tropical storm. Track remains the same though. One thing Ive noticed is that Beta has a pretty large windfield.

The WPC has also issued a Moderate risk for flash flooding.

I kinda feel that way too. I think some people are sleeping on this storm, i hope it doesn't take people by surprise come Monday.

Kinda surprised that there are no flood watches posted anywhere, even on the coastal counties for rainfall. They may not make any track changes at 4, but maybe lower the forecast strength a bit and keep the watches/warnings the same. Just my guess opinion though. They will probably issue watches an...

Yep 12z EURO looks similar to the HWRF showing the system going further inland before being pulled by the trough to the northeast as a remnant low. I think the dry air being pulled from the west is going to make the storm lopsided with most of the moisture north and east of the center. Similar to ho...

12z GFS has Beta making landfall around Matagorda, and sticking around southeast Texas most of next week.Unless Beta dissipates into a naked swirl we would definitely see more than a few inches of rain with that setup. I would wait until we get in range of the mesoscale models to better pinpoint str...

0z HMON and HRWF shifted north to Matagorda Bay with heavy rain across the area. I've also noticed that they show landfall sooner on Sunday instead of Monday.

0z Canadian shows a very ugly setup for heavy rain over Southeast Texas. BTW the Canadian and ICON models were the first to sniff Beta out. They were showing the storm before Sally even formed. Those two models have done surprisingly well with tc genesis this season.

Rip76 wrote: ↑

Fri Sep 18, 2020 10:05 pm

I just don’t see how this hooks left
Unless there is a funky angle on this.

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov//GOES1 ... 0x1000.gif

Beta will move west as it will have no choice due to strong high pressure building in tonight/tomorrow from the front today.