Search found 191 matches

by Snowman
Fri Jul 12, 2019 7:18 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain
Replies: 1104
Views: 447523

Re: July 2019: Tracking Tropical Storm Barry

Rain bands are finally starting to wrap around the north part of the storm. Barry has become much more organized in the past few hours.
by Snowman
Fri Jul 12, 2019 4:58 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: July 2019: Warming Trend/Slight Chances For Rain
Replies: 1104
Views: 447523

Re: July 2019: Tracking Tropical Storm Barry

The vortex that is moving southwest is not the actual center of the storm. It has been rotating around the broader area of low pressure, which is moving wnw. More convection is starting to fire around the center of the storm. Barry looks to be making a final effort to strengthen as it approaches the...
by Snowman
Thu May 09, 2019 8:55 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: MAY 2019: Wednesday Storm Complex/Scattered Showers To End May
Replies: 1039
Views: 421627

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Looks like downtown Houston is about to get in on the action based on the radar
by Snowman
Thu May 09, 2019 7:38 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: MAY 2019: Wednesday Storm Complex/Scattered Showers To End May
Replies: 1039
Views: 421627

Re: MAY 2019: Active WX Week Ahead. Storms/Heavy Rains

Hi guys I haven't posted in a while, but I've been following this weather forum since I was a kid and even though I recently moved out to California I still love to track the weather with you all. This is one of few places I can count in in the world to be as passionate about the weather as I am hah...
by Snowman
Mon Aug 28, 2017 10:34 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

The southeast side of the viewing area is getting blasted unfortunately, but the good news is that I think the heavy rain is done for downtown. It looks like it should be light to moderate rain from now on unless Harvey makes a very unforecasted move
by Snowman
Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:19 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

javakah wrote:
Snowman wrote:It looks to me like Harvey is moving east at a fairly fast pace right now. Does anyone else agree or am I looking at it wrong?
Sure looking like that to me as well.
If it continues east at that speed we won't be dealing with Harvey anymore in a matter of hours
by Snowman
Mon Aug 28, 2017 5:16 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

It looks to me like Harvey is moving east at a fairly fast pace right now. Does anyone else agree or am I looking at it wrong?
by Snowman
Mon Aug 28, 2017 4:45 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

The rain shield seems to be peeling back to the west. Hopefully that dry air will make it hard for Harvey to drag more moisture out of the gulf as we get into the evening hours
by Snowman
Mon Aug 28, 2017 3:23 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

This has been absolutely insane. I watched the water rise into my home early Sunday morning. I called for evac but none ever came. Eventually after 7 hours of waiting I left on foot. I trekked about 2 miles through varying heights of water finally finding a national guard truck that took me to a sh...
by Snowman
Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:27 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Updated 3 Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast Outlook from the Weather Prediction Center. Srain do you really think that we are going to get another 15 inches of rain in the next couple of days? It looks like the heaviest rain is shifting east and the storm is choking on dry air. Unless somethi...
by Snowman
Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:11 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Unless I'm wrong about where the center is, it looks to me that it is unlikely that the NHC's official track for Harvey will verify. It looks like it's slowly moving north east now and it definitely does not look like it is moving south
by Snowman
Sun Aug 27, 2017 10:20 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

I don't see how Harvey is going to beat this dry air from the west. I think it may be possible that the dry air will save Houston from receiving as much rain as the current forecast shows
by Snowman
Sun Aug 27, 2017 7:55 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

Radar seems to be filling in. Does anyone have an explanation for why the dry air filtering into Harvey won't kill the storm?
by Snowman
Sat Aug 26, 2017 9:32 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Catastrophic Flooding/Torna

It looks like models are backing off from showing the storm loop back to Houston. Every run shows the storm staying farther and farther west. I suspect that will spare Houston the 30+ inches of rain. I'm thinking more like widespread 10-15.
by Snowman
Wed Aug 23, 2017 11:26 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2017: Looking Back at Harvey 5 Year Later
Replies: 1801
Views: 999452

Re: August 2017: Tracking Harvey/Coastal Impacts/Inland Floo

Can someone post a map of rainfall totals from the GFS Oz run?
by Snowman
Thu Jun 02, 2016 8:27 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: JUNE 2016: Showers/Storms Possible
Replies: 499
Views: 242435

Re: JUNE 2016 - Heavy Rainfall/Flooding Possible Into Weeken

It seems like these incoming storms have a good enough eastward motion to prevent a training set up over downtown
by Snowman
Wed Mar 09, 2016 6:51 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2016 - Progressive Changeable Weather To End The Month
Replies: 395
Views: 177738

Re: March 2016 - Enhanced Severe WX Threat. Heavy Rain Possi

The heavy stuff is weakening as it moves inland. Along the coast looks like to be the place that will see the greatest rainfall totals. Downtown and most of Harris county should see a steady light/moderate rain if the convection continues to weaken as it moves inland.
by Snowman
Wed Mar 09, 2016 4:11 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2016 - Progressive Changeable Weather To End The Month
Replies: 395
Views: 177738

Re: March 2016 - Enhanced Severe WX Threat. Heavy Rain Possi

Based on the radar, it looks like the storms heading for southeast Texas are moving quickly which should mean that flooding won't be as much of an issue with this batch. Also, it looks like only east of 45 will get the heavy stuff. There is another batch brewing in far south Texas, so will see if th...
by Snowman
Wed Mar 09, 2016 12:55 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2016 - Progressive Changeable Weather To End The Month
Replies: 395
Views: 177738

Re: March 2016 - Enhanced Severe WX Threat. Heavy Rain Possi

It has rained pretty much everywhere EXCEPT for Houston which was pegged to take the brunt. I think one of the models had a (-1) in place of the (+1) in the formula... It sure does seem like that! The HRRR showed the metro area with 9-10 inches last night and not only has that area not gotten 9-10 ...
by Snowman
Wed Mar 09, 2016 12:10 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: March 2016 - Progressive Changeable Weather To End The Month
Replies: 395
Views: 177738

Re: March 2016 - Enhanced Severe WX Threat. Heavy Rain Possi

Everyone keeps saying that the heaviest rain is going to focus just to the southeast of the front, but if you look at the radar right now everything is to the north. In fact, a large portion of the area that was supposed to be the hardest hit has barely seen anything. It's interesting that the city ...