We can analyze the heck out of the daily regime... but when harking back to 2011 we all know that drought begets drought... only broken by a very big tropical surge of some form. When we see the daily drift of rich moisture moving our way from Louisiana, only to go poof at the border... it's obviou...

August 1st is here! Hopefully this means wetter weather for us. Actually, temperatures are much cooler than they were a month ago. I'm starting to think we may (fingers crossed) have passed the worst of summer. Average highs will start to decrease in a few weeks (woohooooo)! On another note, I have...

Supposedly there’s been a constant weakness over the SE all summer so that’s a big reason why they think it’ll be more active over there. The plains ridge won’t hold through the whole month of September. I agree. It often weakens in late August too. The highest chance of Texas getting hit is from a...

A bit off topic but l just learned that I lost a close friend to stage 4 brain cancer today, it just goes to show that we may complain about how miserable the weather here is right now, you cant a day for granted, weather for me at least provides a distraction from grief, and thats why i enjoy bein...

Jasons2k exactly, im seeing so many people on social media calling this season a bust, heck id say the real hurricane season hasnt even started yet,boy are those folks in for a surprise The average first hurricane doesn't even form until August 11. I think that calls should not be made about season...

Over on Storm2k 57 is saying there will be more of a threat to the NE Gulf this year and less of a threat to Texas. Don’t know how you could say that though but from what I know about 57 is that he’s usually not too high on Texas having much of anything. Imo, it's way too early to say we have less ...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 02, 2022 12:20 am DoctorMu maybe top 3, but still behind A&M

All I can say is that there is no easy path to the top 3 in the SEC West.

They have a great coach now with Mike Leach. They never should have run him out of Lubbock. Leach discovered at Wash St. that the pirate offense is even more fun when the team can also play defense. Miss. St. is my sleeper team in the SEC. They could finish in the Top 3 in the SEC West. This warms ...

August 1st is here! Hopefully this means wetter weather for us. Actually, temperatures are much cooler than they were a month ago. I'm starting to think we may (fingers crossed) have passed the worst of summer. Average highs will start to decrease in a few weeks (woohooooo)! On another note, I have...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 01, 2022 1:47 pm congratulations captainbarbossa19!

Thank you! One thing I forgot to mention is that snow happens way more frequently in Starkville so if I have some exciting winter weather, I will be sure to share!

Thank you all!

August 1st is here! Hopefully this means wetter weather for us. Actually, temperatures are much cooler than they were a month ago. I'm starting to think we may (fingers crossed) have passed the worst of summer. Average highs will start to decrease in a few weeks (woohooooo)! On another note, I have ...

My brother-in-law drove into Amarillo today. Sent me a photo of the Amarillo sign and there was green grass all behind it. Then he sent me this…in Amarillo!! I'm in "believe it when I see it" mode, but the GFS and Euro are both trending a lot wetter over the next 10 days. 12z Euro shows w...

jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri Jul 29, 2022 6:02 pm That so-called influx of moisture today was a sick joke.

It’s 5:38 and the radar scope is almost clear. Pathetic. Well off to another week of hell. Maybe next weekend we’ll finally see something.

Yep. 25% of my grass at the farm is dead now. It's only going to get worse until it finally rains.

Some hope on the horizon. Models are showing the strongest ridging to shift next weekend towards the Ohio River Valley. As a result, the flow would become easterly and should give us a higher risk of storms. The Euro and GFS both show this happening. Of course, one negative factor could be tropical ...

jasons2k wrote: ↑Thu Jul 28, 2022 11:25 am The Sabine River is like an iron curtain.

More like the Trinity. It is pouring at my place right now. Trying to share.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 27, 2022 7:07 pm This is day 10 on the 18z GEFS, maybe something to watch down the road?

Here is the 6z GEFS. Obviously this is too far out, but it is picking up on better conditions soon. Also, not liking the locations.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 27, 2022 9:34 pm I never even look at the monthly outlooks on there anymore. They’re extremely inaccurate more times than not. Even their 6-10 day outlooks can often be wrong.

Yeah and August is really hard to predict. You pretty much have to flip a coin due to the tropics.

The latest noaa august outlook is not very encouraging…..☹️😒😞😞 No way they can possibly know because all it takes is for one storm to get into the Gulf and the ridge to be in the wrong place and the outlook will be different. Although this would be unlikely until the middle or end of the month to o...

Something different in a good way than what we have been experiencing hopefully.