Yep. Ensembles bringing it cold and wet. We don't need cold and wet. We need cold and frozen. I still say these models aren't accounting for the upstream snow cover and ice on the ground. i also still say the warm nose is over estimated. the models also aren't taking into account the cold air in th...

Damn.. Yep. Ensembles bringing it cold and wet. We don't need cold and wet. We need cold and frozen. I still say these models aren't accounting for the upstream snow cover and ice on the ground. i also still say the warm nose is over estimated. the models also aren't taking into account the cold ai...

I think the models are trying to underestimate the coldness of the air and they dont have a grasp on the deepness. My gut tells me temperatures will bust and be colder than predicted mainly because of snow cover and cold ground to our north. My gut also says the models are over estimating the warm n...

I think the NAM will offer up a more realistic idea of what temperatures we may see. Arctic air is tricky and may be colder than models are advertising. Although I do find it strange that the GFS was so cold with "only" a 1047 mb high over the northern plains. Seems lightweight. We've pus...