snowman65 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 29, 2020 10:42 am For everyone looking for winter miracles this year, its just not going to happen. Youll have to come to terms sooner or later. I want it just as much as the next winter lover but you gotta stay grounded in reality.

Exactly what I've been saying.

Serious wide spread heavy rain with the possibility of wintry precip on the backside with good cold air settling in. How does it feel to be wrong all the time? Meh. Most of the heavy rain will be to the north, while the snow chances are much farther northwest in Texas. So, it's all going according ...

The trajectory of the cold core is too far to the north.We need the cold core to take more of a southerly track, if we want to see snow here in southeast Texas. Saying that, i wouldn't state "like always" when Southeast Texas has seen plenty of wintry precip events over the last decade co...

Also, Waters are looking to be warming and we should be back to ENSO neutral pretty quickly. If a Niña background State takes hold, it won’t be until Spring/Summer.... which would be horrible, but I doubt it lasts long. However, I don’t really see that happening. Ninas are good for summer here, sin...

True La Nina kicks in, and puts an end to winter as we know it.

I have had a total of 6 inches of rainfall with just the last 2 cold fronts (not dry...lol) that came down. Today's front will have moisture with it and models are showing a good bit of moisture with the big front around the New Year. Also we are below average temp wise for the month of December be...

Did you just make that up to hear yourself talk? No, these are the trends that have been mentioned consistently by the weather analysts on Twitter. Long range forecasts as of now are showing solid fronts rolling down after the 1st of the year with some storm systems thrown in the mix. I'm liking it...

Any winter lovers better get their wishes satisfied before the true Nina climo kicks in, and destroys any chance of wintry weather (not that I mind, of course).

Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Fri Dec 18, 2020 2:54 pmSeems like all the really cold air always goes east instead of straight south...whats the reasoning for this?

Yes, let the cold go east. Or better yet, stay locked up north where it belongs.

Meh, models always want to dig huge bowling balls and troughs in that California/Baja/Northwest Mexico region, regardless of whether it makes sense or not. It's overdone, it will just be a tease.

The last decade has been colder overall than the 2000s and 1990s. You have to go back to the 1980s to find a colder decade. And absolutist predictions have happened since the 1950s. In the 70s, a new ice age was coming. In the late 90s the polar ice caps would be long gone by 2015. Turns out neithe...

No, a freeze of that extent may NOT happen again in your life. Already in the past 30 years, temps citywide have largely been struggling to dip below 20F. And things will only get milder overall as climate change continues. I'm not saying that there won't be cold snaps in the future, but I just can...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 02, 2020 10:19 pm The GFS looks interesting in about 10 days. Could be another big rainmaker.

The associated low pressure looks focused on the Great Lakes. The impact may not be too heavy, at least for now.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 03, 2020 12:51 pm Why wont it stop raining hete?? Geez....enough already.

Beaumont and heavy rainbombs - name a more appropriate duo.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Dec 01, 2020 10:00 am Had a low of 30. Gardens seem OK as I took precautions. I would be delighted if this was a one freeze and done winter.

That's a pretty light freeze.

What's interesting is that it was warmer in Maine this morning than places like Mobile and Panhandle Florida.

Oh, and Happy Thanksgiving! May this winter be overall hot and toasty, just like the turkey feast fresh from the oven!

don wrote: ↑Tue Nov 24, 2020 11:57 am Not anymore,the latest models have shifted more to the south with the area of greatest convergence. Wouldn't be surprised if the WPC moved the higher QPF amounts further south over the coming days.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue Nov 24, 2020 7:04 pmThose amounts have gone up per the latest update.

I'd still believe in it when I see it.

^^^On the last NWS discussion I read, it was said that the dynamics of the coming storm might be too far north for the Houston area to get the true impact. Nevertheless, we'll see what comes up.

Wanting cold, and forecasting it are two very different things. I go off things like 1+2, SOI, GOA, PDO what a typical Niña Winter looks like given the current background state.... [snip] No problems man, it's all understood. I'm actually looking forward to some cold myself: 60s for highs and 40s f...

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Nov 22, 2020 12:20 pmI know, but it won’t stop the trolls and emotional ones from making bold absolutist claims

Kinda like how you beg for the cold, hmmm