Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Mon Jul 15, 2019 1:39 pm It's dumped buckets....in sheets....in Conroe today.

Yes it has. real dark over here at the job in the Woodlands. I Hope some slides over to my house in Atascocita.

Is the center reforming now? No. One main mesovort rotating around a broad area of lower pressure about 90 miles S of New Orleans. Still moving generally WNW at 5 MPH https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=02L&product=vis Wow this has got to be one of the wierdest storms ever....

So if the center has been pulled to the convention in the south as it looks like , then it should get settled and then turn north soon right?

so where is the center now?

So we are pretty confident that this is a LA Storm ? Or are we waiting until the COC is formed? WE are not confident any final solution at this time. COC or not, these close in home grown tropical cyclones have a history of throwing a lot of curveballs right up to landfall and beyond... ;) Understo...

So we are pretty confident that this is a LA Storm ? Or are we waiting until the COC is formed?

mcheer23 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 10, 2019 11:38 am Many UKMET and EURO ensembles also show a track toward SE Texas.

so how reliable is the UKMET?

Forgive for asking questions , just trying to learn a little bit.

So is the UKMET a reliable model? Also the Ensembles what exactly does that come from?

stormlover wrote: ↑Tue Jul 09, 2019 2:54 pm Lol man people jump the gun on models, yesterday had tx and now today la. We don’t have a center yet I think we will know for tomorrow morning what could happen. I wouldn’t be surprised one bit it’s more east or more west tonight or in the morning.

Good Point.

So basically the Trough in the plains is the key on whether this comes more our way or parks in LA somewhere?

It's not a building high to look out for. It's a trough that dips down enough to erode the Western flank of it that allows an escape route to the east of us. Why the euro and its ensembles shifted as they did on the 0z runs. Scott747 - I was just about to ask about this. So the trough is the key to...

I have a question, I am new to the board but have been fascinated with weather and tropical storms for some years now. so are they running these models based on area they think the low will form? Welcome dbrooks77346 and very good question! Simply put, the various computer models try to resolves ma...

I have a question, I am new to the board but have been fascinated with weather and tropical storms for some years now.
so are they running these models based on area they think the low will form?

tireman4 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 08, 2019 11:33 am Again, just for educational purposes...

So How reliable is the Icon Model?