Search found 17 matches

by Seantx81
Thu Feb 11, 2021 12:03 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins
Replies: 2374
Views: 721885

Re: February 2021

Please pay attention to what is happening to our Northern brothers. I suspect Monday is going to look just like this down here. https://www.facebook.com/100000286180834/posts/4016511288368371/ I just saw that and shared it...horrible...hopefully people will take this stuff seriously. This video is ...
by Seantx81
Fri Jan 08, 2021 1:32 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2021
Replies: 809
Views: 252758

Re: January 2021

I will say this... I was in Atlanta for the mayhem that was Snowocolypse and all of the meteorologist there were certain based on models that nothing would happen. The snow started earlier in the day from transitioning from light rain. It started to stick once wet bulbing took over. It got heavier a...
by Seantx81
Mon Aug 24, 2020 3:53 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 834132

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Galveston County Judge Mark Henry says the NHC told him it’s going East of Sabine Pass and they have at least medium confidence in this forecast.
by Seantx81
Mon Aug 24, 2020 12:28 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 834132

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

The cone of uncertainty is only 233 miles wide. One small swing one way or the other would have large implications. It's current wind field is 260 miles. I know that it can expand or decrease it's wind field as it strengthens.
by Seantx81
Sun Aug 23, 2020 8:06 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 834132

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Someone asked earlier about storm shutters. I don’t know the right answer but my neighbor put almost all of his second floor shutters on today. I’m going to get mine out of the shed tomorrow and get them ready to possibly install on Tuesday.
by Seantx81
Sun Aug 23, 2020 8:01 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 834132

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Aug 23, 2020 7:22 pm I mean I just don’t know what the euro is doing

I’m wondering if you’re referring to what they recently showed on TWC. If so, Marco dancing around off shore of Texas isn’t even funny. I saw it on there and was like WTF is this!
by Seantx81
Sat Aug 22, 2020 12:53 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 834132

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

And you have this from Joe Bastardi: "From earlie tweet r NHC stronger with Marco. Interesting forecast as its hard to believe a storm in the height of the season over warmer than average water in the gulf, heading for favorable areas of the MJO, would weaken, If it stays compact, I dont think ...
by Seantx81
Fri Aug 21, 2020 11:09 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 834132

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

Don as an example is it losing strength at landfall. The NHC forecast for TD 14 has it losing strength over very warm water.
by Seantx81
Fri Aug 21, 2020 10:45 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: August 2020:
Replies: 2421
Views: 834132

Re: August 2020: Tracking The Busy Tropics

I just don't see it weakening before landfall. This is rarely the case with any storm let alone one entering the GOM with bath tub temperature water. I could be totally wrong but maybe someone can point to an example of this.
by Seantx81
Thu Jun 04, 2020 12:57 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: June 2020
Replies: 505
Views: 200552

Re: June 2020: Tracking TD Christabol

I cant think of a case where I've ever seen the dirty side being the west side. Thats got to be a rarity. There was a storm that hit Florida a year or two ago. It strengthened while over land which was odd too but I believe it had its strongest winds recorded in the 11 o’clock to 7 o’clock quadrants.
by Seantx81
Fri Jan 10, 2020 6:33 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead
Replies: 367
Views: 201108

Re: January 2020: Severe Threat Friday/Tracking Cold Air Next Week

Sometimes you just have to throw the models out and go with your feelings. The amount of surface winds, moisture surging in off the gulf, and energy in the air tells me that someone in the Southeast Texas area is going to have a rough night. It’s just got that feeling outside
by Seantx81
Mon Oct 07, 2019 8:14 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook
Replies: 299
Views: 163255

Re: October: Cold Front/Mid Week Warming /Stronger Front Friday

Hagibis has 55 Foot waves

Nope... :shock:
by Seantx81
Thu Sep 19, 2019 5:12 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2019 - Warm End of September
Replies: 1502
Views: 620951

Re: September 2019 - Imelda Weakens. Flash Flood Watch/Heavy Rainfall Threat

This looks terrible for Beaumont now. Our thoughts are with our neighbors to the east.
by Seantx81
Tue Sep 17, 2019 4:05 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2019 - Warm End of September
Replies: 1502
Views: 620951

Re: September 2019 - TS Imelda Forms. Flash Flood Watch/Heavy Rainfall Threat

Already high water between Blackhawk and Beamer on Scarsdale.
by Seantx81
Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:51 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2019 - Warm End of September
Replies: 1502
Views: 620951

Re: September 2019 - TS Imelda Forms. Flash Flood Watch/Heavy Rainfall Threat

I’ve been just lurking for a long while folks but my Harvey ptsd is kicking in. Sorry i know the answer is likely a wishcasting type of scenario but I’m a little more freaked out now that I have a baby to worry about and not just myself but... How do impacts as far as for flooding look for the Sout...
by Seantx81
Tue Sep 17, 2019 3:30 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: September 2019 - Warm End of September
Replies: 1502
Views: 620951

Re: September 2019 - TS Imelda Forms. Flash Flood Watch/Heavy Rainfall Threat

I’ve been just lurking for a long while folks but my Harvey ptsd is kicking in. Sorry i know the answer is likely a wishcasting type of scenario but I’m a little more freaked out now that I have a baby to worry about and not just myself but... How do impacts as far as for flooding look for the South...
by Seantx81
Wed Oct 10, 2018 10:29 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: OCTOBER 2018 - Stormy Halloween
Replies: 391
Views: 169849

Re: OCTOBER 2018 - Tracking The Tropics/Fall Cold Front

I’ve been watching weather channel since last night. I was surprised to hear their “experts” say it wouldn’t strengthen anymore while pressures were still falling. Now Michael is stronger today and pressures are still dropping. It’s crazy’s to think that based on the wind chart above some structures...