Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 19, 2025 11:19 pm Anyone else staying up all night tomorrow just waiting for the flakes to start flying? Don’t think im getting any sleep tommorow hahaha

100%. A tradition unlike any other haha

TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Sun Jan 19, 2025 4:44 pm The 18 gfs has a fairly sharp cutoff northern Harris to the north with only about an inch or so in Northern Harris.

I think it’s time to throw out the global models and start looking at the short term models

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Mon Nov 14, 2022 9:28 am Brazoriatx next front should arrive by thursday or so, and this one looks to be even stronger, highs in the low to upper 40’s seem like a good bet, the NWS is too warm right now

I thought we had another front coming through this evening?

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 19, 2022 6:40 pm This summer is worse than 2011 IMO, you know its bad when you’re hoping for a weak tropical storm/ hurricane in the coming weeks, active phase of the MJO is set to cross into the Atlantic basin next week, will see if anything happens

Did you live here in 2011?

The next week and a half looks more like mid August than early May. Thankful for the rain today and hope the dry pattern coming up doesn’t last too long.

New NAM isn’t very impressive either. Almost shows nothing around here. Looks like a lot of models are showing the moisture drying up fairly quickly when it tries to move in tomorrow afternoon.

Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Mon Jan 31, 2022 3:02 pm Hmm..that 20% has to be frozen at 28 degrees

Yeah but the low temp is probably around 6AM when all the moisture has moved out.

It’s getting hard to come to this site. Less discussion and more bleeding all over the board. Winter starts tomorrow. It will probably be like a traditional Niña where roller coaster temps happen. I’d put the over/under on good cold snaps at 2.5. Id put the over/under on freezes (for my place) at 1...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Nov 28, 2021 11:52 pm Tonights 00z model runs, stopped them at day 10 (hour 240) CMC on the left and GFS on the right, talk about some crazy model disagreement

That’s usually what happens when it’s 10+ days out

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 20, 2021 9:41 am What a complete bust lol

Too far out to call it a bust. Also don’t know why you would get your hopes up in what models were showing more than a week out almost.

Am I crazy or have we actually had decent fall weather this year? We live in Southeast Texas, we’re gonna have warm days in fall and winter.

Highs in the 40’s this time of year is pretty rare around these parts. No one should be disappointed when we “only” have highs in the upper 50’s to low 60’s this time of year.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Nov 04, 2021 2:54 pm Kingwood36 Haha same! But it means little unless we start seeing other models jump on board, 10 days out, lots can and will change

The GFS was showing a big front too but it backed off

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 26, 2021 8:02 pm Hate that the storms are moving in during the morning, I have to walk to my 10:20 lecture this is gonna be fun haha

Most models having it moving out well before that for your area

I’m looking forward to the cold front. Ready for it to actually feel like fall.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 03, 2021 12:48 pm yep October is going to suck lol

At least it won’t suck as bad as the last four months.

Scott747 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 2:03 pm

TXWeatherMan wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm Anybody have the 12z Euro?

Matagorda Bay. But it initialized at the center from earlier this morning and is looking a little to far w.

Thanks. I saw it looks a little slower than some other models too.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:50 pm

TXWeatherMan wrote: ↑Mon Sep 13, 2021 1:47 pm Anybody have the 12z Euro?

Look on tropical tidbits.

I did but it’s not very detailed on tropical tidbits

Anybody have the 12z Euro?

Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 12, 2021 11:14 am 12x GFS is coming in further e towards Matagorda and then a little ne towards Sargent as a strong ts, low end cane.

Continues inland thru Brazoria and Galveston counties.

Looks like a shift west from the 06z right?