Google AI model shows an increasing number of its ensemble members bring a system ashore on Saturday along the SE Texas coast.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 08, 2025 3:40 pm Watching the gulf in week 2

Most models are picking it up (including Google AI).
Some have it trekking due west into the SE TX coast. Stay tuned.
Next name, obviously, is Dexter.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Tue Jul 08, 2025 12:53 am Even into the third week of july, the GFS keeps things on the active side down around here , heck the CMC/ GFS overnight guidance both have a surprisingly strong july cold front in the 8-10 day window lol

Hope it snows

It looks like we may get through all of June and July with very few - if any - triple digit thermometer readings. I know in League City, there have been none thus far. This Summer has been a far cry from the last couple years. Stratton, you were spot-on earlier this year. I’d take every day being 10...

This event has devastated me on a level which I cannot remember feeling since Katrina. I was stuck at a NOLA hospital during Katrina and afterwards. This caused all those memories to come flooding back. I know Harvey was horrible, too. I picked up my 11yo daughter from week-long Summer camp on Satur...

This is surreal. There will be multiple, multiple fatalities from those completely caught off guard camping for the long weekend. My heart is shattered.
The meteorology profession and weather community will be catching a ton of heat the next weeks. Buckle down.

TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Fri Jul 04, 2025 9:23 am Is that the remnants of Barry possibly? If so that is why the system looks warm core this morning.

I was thinking the same thing. Looks like Barry got Harvey’d over central TX. They needed rain, but obviously not this much. Heartbreaking.

tireman4 wrote: ↑Fri Jul 04, 2025 8:57 am Alluding to what Jasin stated

Those poor people. None of this was forecasted, correct?

Barely a freaking DROP in League City. Dry slotted the entire time. Ugh!!!!

Don't look now, but we have a shortwave surprise in store for today.....rain chances are high today for a good portion of the area. Fingers crossed.

NOAA is back towards forecasting near normal- above normal rainfall over texas in the 6-10 and 8-14 day outlooks, any big heat ridge looks to be pretty short lived, honestly it looks like the western US may take the worst of the heat in the medium range ( aside from this week here in which it will ...

BOC has a lemon now. Mexico problem.

Today was a nice rain day for League City. I hope we can cash in on more sea breeze storms in the future (we’ve largely missed out), but today was a nice reprieve. Geaux rain.

Made a comment on herzogs post from yesterday about how much i enjoy enjoy the rain, and immediately i get blasted for folks saying “ I must enjoy flooding” Or guess you never lost anything in harvey “ it truly is sad that you cant post an opinion about weather on social media without getting bashe...

I don’t like the trend I’m seeing of waning rain chances on the horizon coupled with increasing forecast temperatures.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jun 22, 2025 7:53 pm Not sure what’s up with the higher rain chances this week. Channel 13 has like 30-60% rain chances every day. The globals don’t have much going on, especially the GFS.

All my rain % went to ****

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Wed Jun 18, 2025 1:33 pm Back from The Arctic. I’m ready to go back!

I’ll take another 2 feet of rain the rest of this Summer here and clouds every day.

We won't have a death ridge affecting us for more than 3 days - at least until the end of June and probably the first week of July.

Well, that escalated quickly. 30mins ago, it had 45% and 0.40”. Lol

Google’s DeepMind AI hurricane model was just released for public consumption. According to a few seasoned mets, it vastly out-performed the ECMWF the past 2 seasons in its “Beta” runs.

Could be a game-changer….here it is:
https://deepmind.google.com/science/weatherlab