Brazoriatx979 wrote: ↑Mon Jul 14, 2025 11:00 am I have a hard time believing anything 57 says on storms now, since he botched Beryl

Whenever I see him post something I just automatically scroll past it. I never read his posts anymore.

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Sun Jul 13, 2025 9:53 pm

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 13, 2025 8:55 pm

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Sun Jul 13, 2025 8:32 pm If named, it would be Dexter.

It’s early, but it looks like more of a problem for Louisiana as of right now.

The name Dexter is interesting. From a TV show, Dexter.

I agree, interesting name.

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Sun Jul 13, 2025 8:32 pm If named, it would be Dexter.

It’s early, but it looks like more of a problem for Louisiana as of right now.

18z UKMET only goes out 66 hours but already has a developing system moving west in the gulf in 3 days or so, the UKMET is generally a model the NHC puts weight into so this is definitely something to watch when this model shows development That would probably move towards NOLA if it comes off FL t...

An East to West system is still popping up in the outlook. Now instead of points east, Texas is the bullseye. Now we know how these things go. First, we need to actually get a system in the gulf before getting too carried away. We also know that being so close to home we don't have time to guess on...

Don’t like seeing the subtropical ridge building into the eastern gulf on models and ensembles, that would push potential “ Dexter” further west into the central and even western gulf, we need to watch this, the disturbance itself looks pretty healthy on IR , environmental conditions in the gulf do...

Oh boy, Flash Flood Emergencies are starting to break out just NW of Austin. Not good.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Jul 12, 2025 10:51 pm 00z ICON

Big rainmaker bro.

Training storms in The Woodlands. Possibly about to be a big problem over there.

Not nearly as much rain out there today as I thought it would be.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Jul 09, 2025 1:53 pm No dome today…it is pouring!

Lol did you get enough rain today? Radar looked crazy over you.

https://x.com/MaxVelocityWX/status/1942715474971967593

Geez, more river flooding.

More flooding taking place across CTX this morning. The Copperas Cove area is absolutely getting hammered this morning.

This was the NWS forecast discussion Thursday night when campers and counselors in Kerr County were preparing to sleep. Tricky, but was it actionable? Kerr County was not included in the flood watch. How many counselors would have had weather alert from NOAA or local forecasts on their smart phones...

Mesos are pretty much useless right now. This is a very tricky forecast.

Id be fine with not seeing anymore rain the rest of the month, just absolutely devastating for central texas folks, one of the worst flooding disasters in many years, I wouldnt mind a big heat dome setting up shop over the state, get that rain out of texas! Most areas in Texas haven’t even seen muc...

That cell to the northwest of Austin may be the beginning of tonight's activity? It is a slow moving and strong storm. I think that’s possible, but the mesos aren’t really showing much happening tonight. Warm core event? 16 inches of rain fell in that spot overnight. That’s why I said it’s possible...

TexasBreeze wrote: ↑Fri Jul 04, 2025 11:34 pm That cell to the northwest of Austin may be the beginning of tonight's activity? It is a slow moving and strong storm.

I think that’s possible, but the mesos aren’t really showing much happening tonight.

If it’s a warm core low, I’d expect it to blow up again overnight tonight into tomorrow morning. San Antonio area could be next in line.

Central Texas could see heavy rain tonight. I saw forecast models showing some areas could see a foot of rain. https://www.weather.gov/ewx/forecasts Forecast Discussion 736 FXUS64 KEWX 040217 AAA AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 917 PM CDT Thu...