Big changes from the CPC today.

It’ll probably just put temps near normal. I doubt it’ll be anything of significance. Right, upper 70s for highs...is the last GFS 2 meter I saw. I think we all collectively will take that. :) Realistically, we're hoping it's below 80°F for Halloween. That's normal. 80’s and even low 90’s are good ...

Agreement per Euro, CMC, GFS of a FROPA around the 20th. Canadian has the most enthusiasm. 10 long days until then. It’ll probably just put temps near normal. I doubt it’ll be anything of significance. Right, upper 70s for highs...is the last GFS 2 meter I saw. I think we all collectively will take...

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Fri Oct 10, 2025 12:31 am Agreement per Euro, CMC, GFS of a FROPA around the 20th. Canadian has the most enthusiasm. 10 long days until then.

It’ll probably just put temps near normal. I doubt it’ll be anything of significance.

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Tue Oct 07, 2025 4:56 pm I don't understand why we are at risk of flash drought now when its been hot and dry since May. Why wouldn't we have a flash drought in July?

Faucet turned off here in September.

tireman4 wrote: ↑Tue Oct 07, 2025 10:00 am Enderlin Tornado

Weird spot for that to happen, IMO.

I will say this. I remember October 2004 ( my first year of marriage), it was abnormally hot. In fact, it is still the hottest October of all time. Halloween was brutal at 88 degrees. Ridges do happen, all the time. Eventually, the heat will be dislodged ( Meteorology 101, the earth/weather always ...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Thu Oct 02, 2025 6:22 pm GFS keeps the SE ridge parked right over texas for the large majority of october lolneed to see that - PNA really weaken otherwise you can kiss rain chances and cooler weather goodbye

The persistent-PDO is a big reason why rain chances have been so inconsistent the past few years.

The record high for today was set back in 1938 at 97°F and tomorrow the record high was set back in 1994 at 95°F.

The Euro looks wet begging in 10ish days. GFS, dry through the entire run.

Only managed a quarter inch up in Georgetown yesterday. Most of the area didnt see anything. I've only gotten about an inch or so of rain since the July flood ended. Dry fall incoming I guess. It’s beautiful up there, but boy is the weather boring. Sucks to be a weather enthusiast and live up there.

I’ve picked up 1.20” altogether this week. No complaints here. Heard the coastal counties got hammered this morning though.

The new NWS forecast is getting hotter and drier. OTOH, they've been wrong so much this year... For several days now, I’ve been eagerly anticipating those 50% chances of rain for tomorrow. Oh wait… Neither today nor tomorrow look like much of a chance for anything. Maybe 20-30% at most. Still time ...

In my 60+ years of tracking Texas weather, I can't recall a July through September that didn't have a named storm in the Gulf. And as would be expected the water is now boiling hot there. Very weird. One would have to expect that weather equilibrium will have to be achieved... hopefully not in some...

Ptarmigan wrote: ↑Mon Sep 15, 2025 9:11 pm

Pas_Bon wrote: ↑Sun Sep 14, 2025 11:25 pm I’m checking all long-range models and, unfortunately, there is no snow in the forecast for SE Texas for the next 14 days.

It would be nice to see some cooler weather.

You’ll have to wait till mid to late October for that, and even that might be pushing it.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri Sep 12, 2025 2:09 pm All i can say is we better hope nothing gets into the gulf for the rest of the season, the gulf officially now has a record breaking amount of upper ocean heat content, big yikes

Hurricane season is over for us and I have zero interest what happens elsewhere in the basin.

Rip76 wrote: ↑Sat Sep 13, 2025 12:13 pmSo depressing.

Thank goodness for football is all I have to say.

Very boring stretch of weather coming up over the next week or two. This place is gonna be dead.

snowman65 wrote: ↑Tue Sep 09, 2025 12:32 pm after this, when might we see the next "noticable" front? Yes, I'm greedy!

Gonna be awhile. Summer is coming back soon.

I’m pretty sure hurricane season is over for us.