FV3 model is interesting in the long range.

My thermo has not reached above 39 here in Beaumont all day. I have a feeling the 45 high local mets forecasted are going to be a big bust. Too much cloud cover for a high of 45. Not gonna happen unless you get a break in the clouds which probably won’t happen till later this evening into the overn...

The weather is looking pretty wet for the next couple weeks.

The GFS and Euro disagree big time on next weeks rain event. The GFS has a flood and the Euro only has an inch or two.

The HRRR is hinting at some light wintry precip over SETX tomorrow.

tireman4 wrote:Interesting...

Interesting indeed! If that can persist through the winter then we could be looking at potentially some fun times ahead, especially since we’re in an El Niño with an active STJ.

The 12z Euro is very cold. Wednesday morning it has a freeze for all of SETX except the coastal counties and eastern counties and Thursday morning it has a freeze for all of us except for the immediate coastline. Mid to upper 20’s for many of us with several hours at or below freezing Thursday morni...

The 18z NAM is wild.

The 12z Euro has a freeze for everyone in SETX Wednesday morning except for the immediate coastline.

Could this challenge records?

mcheer23 wrote:Well...the 12z GFS is quite chilly.

And wet.

Cold and wet times appear to be ahead of us.

The FV3 has a huge front in about a week or so, but the GFS doesn’t have it. Which one to believe?

So Friday and Saturday are shaping up to be nice. You guys said Sunday/Monday another strong(er?) system rolls through? The GFS says so, but the Euro doesn’t. Earlier on I was leaning towards the GFS solution, but not so much anymore because of the Euros persistence of saying no dice. I also happen...

The 12z Euro shows about 2-8” of rain for SETX in the 7-9 day timeframe.

Great rain we had here tonight! Picked up 2.1” without any severe weather.

We just lost power here right outside of Wharton.

Next storm system coming in around Sunday/Monday could be even stronger than the current one. I have to think the above average sst’s in the western Gulf are helping to aid this.