February is still Winter. Keep that in mind. Maybe last Winter's mild February has made February seem more Spring-like to some.

Seeing reports of snow accumulating on roads in Kingwood.

Hard to get precip to reach the ground with dew points where they're at right now.

Latest HRRR run wants to bring a couple hours of non-accumulating light snow to Harris County early tonight.

If you guys down there get measurable snow before we do up here, I'll be done with my weather hobby I swear.

Winter mischief? Yeah right. We had ONE day of freezing temps last year and the previous two Christmases were in the 80s. Winter doesn't exist down here anymore. Winter barely existed for any of the country East of the Rockies. We got a near-record low 7.5" of snow here last season. Should be ...

Best case scenario if you go out driving tonight is your car gets destroyed. That is the BEST CASE SCENARIO. If flood water enters your tailpipe, your car is toast. Worst case scenario is you lose your life. Do not travel.

Thankfully for Houston, not much widespread rain tonight for the metro. The heaviest stuff with be off to the East over areas that can handle it. If it were to come to the metro, it would be no bueno as creeks are full and grounds are saturated.

Fun looking cell merger about to take place. Placing my money on a FF warning being needed in the next hour somewhere in Harris County East of the 45.

EDIT: Do I get a prize?

HRRR runs concern me. However, I do think the worst should be out of the metro by morning commute time, so hopefully that gives any street flooding time to drain. Pro tip: If water gets into your tailpipe and into the engine, your car will break and will be impossible to fix. Think about that next t...

I feel like this sums up the current state of the models regarding the tropics: GFS : Guys are seeing this? *uncomfortable silence* GFS : Guys! I'm not crazy how do you not see this? ECMWF : *whispers* No one make eye contact. GFS : Bro? GFS Parallel : *silently looks away* GFS : CMC? I know at lea...

It's actually being normal now. Looks like the lightning has subsided. At least for what may hit the metro.

Rookie question, but how often do we see a system with multiple vorticies?

GFS ain't budging, still showing the Sabine River track with 999mb at landfall. Completely drenches the Louisiana coast.

00z GFS trended Westward. Hugging Sabine now. 999mb (low-mid grade TS) @ landfall.

Texaspirate11 wrote:

StormOne wrote:00z NAM shows a near-High Island landfall @ 990mb. NAM 3km showing a more Sabine-ish landfall, but still giving us a soaker.

(yes...but its the NAM LOL)

The fact that it doesn't show an overwhelming tornado potential is a good start

00z NAM shows a near-High Island landfall @ 990mb. NAM 3km showing a more Sabine-ish landfall, but still giving us a soaker.

Thanks so much for the GOES-16 links, Brooks and Unome. Really impressive! The KLCH and KGRK sites are covering about 2/3 of our WFO fairly well, we should survive.

KCRP broke down just now too. Bad timing.

KHGX radar down. These things always go down at the perfect times!