Besides maybe the CMC at times, the long range global models have been close to useless for all intents and purposes. Last week all of the models, outside of the CMC like I illustrated yesterday, depicted a hot and dry weather pattern over the majority of Central and SE TX this week through July 4th...

Alluding to what Jasin stated Those poor people. None of this was forecasted, correct? It just hit me now that the CMC had a few runs late last week depicting a warm core cut off low pressure swirling over South Central TX for several days before ultimately dissipating. I thought those CMC’s model ...

IMG_0167.gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0428 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 130 PM EDT Fri Jun 13 2025 Areas affected...far southwest Louisiana, southeast Texas Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 131707Z - 132137Z Summary...A few instances of flash fl...

Yikes! 18z HRRR hinting at a flooding event somewhere in se texas with training rain bands wednesday- friday Regardless how this plays out, we'll be good here in Katy, because all of the good rains dissipate as they move into our part of town. Only to re-intensify as they move away from this genera...

IMG_0162.png Mesoscale Discussion 1218 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0114 AM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025 Areas affected...parts of east-central/southeast Texas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 090614Z - 090745Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A severe thunde...

IMG_0026.png Mesoscale Discussion 2301 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1147 AM CST Sat Dec 28 2024 Areas affected...portions of eastern Texas into far western Louisiana Concerning...Tornado Watch 718...719... Valid 281747Z - 281915Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 718, 719 continu...

Unfortunately, it appears my post from December 2023 was pretty accurate, for the most part, at least up to this point in time...

Eric Miller @EricMillerNews We're getting our first look at the devastation in Western NC, what officials are now calling "Buncombe County's own Hurricane Katrina." County Emergency Management held a press conference this afternoon, calling the damage "biblical." Here's what we ...

Eric Miller @EricMillerNews We're getting our first look at the devastation in Western NC, what officials are now calling "Buncombe County's own Hurricane Katrina." County Emergency Management held a press conference this afternoon, calling the damage "biblical." Here's what we ...

Has anyone checked up on SRain since the remnants of Helene moved out of North Carolina? According to his location, it appears the worst of the flash flooding and river flooding is occurring just to the east of his area.

Meanwhile, I’m still sitting at 0.80 inches of rain in my backyard for the past 2 weeks. Yes that’s right, I haven’t accumulated one inch of rain throughout this entire “wet” stretch for the past two weeks. I had the same observation and was going to post the exact same thing. I've have some partin...

Not to pry or get off topic too much, but why exactly did they deny your claim for a full roof replacement? Meanwhile, I’m still sitting at 0.80 inches of rain in my backyard for the past 2 weeks. Yes that’s right, I haven’t accumulated one inch of rain throughout this entire “wet” stretch for the ...

State Farm hung me out to dry after waiting 2 months to see if they would cover my roof damage. Infuriating since I could have had my roof replaced 5x over in thr time spent waiting on them, all while it never rakned. Now that I've got a roofer on my own, it's raining it's *** off everyday and I ca...

State Farm hung me out to dry after waiting 2 months to see if they would cover my roof damage. Infuriating since I could have had my roof replaced 5x over in thr time spent waiting on them, all while it never rakned. Now that I've got a roofer on my own, it's raining it's *** off everyday and I ca...

One of the more prominent issues that the waves coming off of Africa are having is the overwhelming African Easterly Jet bleeding into the Western African Moonsoon Trough at this time. The air flow has been simply too fast coming off of the continent of Africa which is almost shearing the waves over...

Hurricane Katrina's first rodeo Back in August of 2005, South Florida was struck by a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. The storm made landfall near the border of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties. It killed 14 and caused the 2024 equivalent of $1 billion in damage. It was Hurricane K...

This Week's ENSO Niño 4 0.6ºC Niño 3.4 0.2ºC Niño 3 -0.1ºC Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same. Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this fort...

This Week's ENSO Niño 4 0.6ºC Niño 3.4 0.2ºC Niño 3 -0.1ºC Niño 1+2 -0.5ºC https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf All regions cooled, except for Region 3. It remains the same. Hopefully, all the statistical models are wrong at this fort...

Hurricane Katrina's first rodeo Back in August of 2005, South Florida was struck by a hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 80 mph. The storm made landfall near the border of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties. It killed 14 and caused the 2024 equivalent of $1 billion in damage. It was Hurricane K...

It's official. The wife and I will be relocating to the north side of Austin over the next month, likely to the Georgetown area. Gave official word of mouth to the new boss on Friday and will sign the papers Monday or Tuesday. Will be trading super humidity for drier, but also trading hurricanes an...