F49D7C9E-D410-4B1C-A3B0-CBCD275C7A7C.jpeg Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0808 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 809 AM EDT Sat Aug 20 2022 Areas affected...far southeast TX & southwest LA Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 201208Z - 201708Z Summary...Sho...

I hear you Stratton, but I was going to share my opinion back at the beginning of July when you first began to post some mid-term & long-term models that were initially showing a good moisture feed into Texas, and then eventually started forming a circulation of various strengths moving into the...

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 06, 2022 11:11 pm 00z Icon with a weak depression/ tropical storm into The corpus area by next saturday

So Stratton, tells us why we don't want this ICON run, or any other forecast model with this solution, to be correct with this prognostication?

After yet another day with rain showers and thundershowers dissipating as they moved toward my neighborhood, I decided to do a little auditing and compare this year with 2011 with respect to rainfall totals. And as I expected, my general area is running ahead of 2011's totals, but disturbingly, not...

After yet another day with rain showers and thundershowers dissipating as they moved toward my neighborhood, I decided to do a little auditing and compare this year with 2011 with respect to rainfall totals. And as I expected, my general area is running ahead of 2011's totals, but disturbingly, not ...

I didn't know he was a member on here but I did follow him on Twitter. I do remember my wife and I met him at a Houston/Galveston Hurricane Workshop a few years ago at the George R. Brown Convention Center. He was sitting at the same table as us and I remember him telling us stories while we were th...

Most of the computers models haven't done a very good job with forecasting the current activity moving through SE Texas at this time. For example, the 06Z NAM-3km does not reflect the current level of convection over the area... nam3km_ref_frzn_scus_6.png Now compare that forecast to the current rad...

Public Information Statement National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 815 PM CDT Tue Mar 22 2022 ...NWS Damage Survey for 03/21/22 - 03/22/22 Tornado Event .Beasley... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 90 mph Path Length /statute/: 0.8185 miles Path Width /maximum/: 30.0 yards Fatalities: 0 Inj...

Unfortunately, the latest monthly CFS run from March 20th continues the drier anomalies over SE Texas during the month of April: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2022032006/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_us_1.png As far as the CanSIPS, the March run for the month of April won't init...

Remarkable video footage here...

https://twitter.com/brianemfinger/statu ... 4929286152

Confirmed tornado near College Station in particular near the Texas A&M campus right now. Seek shelter now if you're near this area!

Texas Storm Chasers Live provides good, relevant information during severe weather events in Texas such as this...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sdjAwY4j8w

Unfortunately, the latest monthly CFS run from March 20th continues the drier anomalies over SE Texas during the month of April: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2022032006/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_us_1.png As far as the CanSIPS, the March run for the month of April won't initi...

The CFS Monthly has trended drier and drier for the month of March for SE Texas with each run... https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-mon/2022022818/cfs-mon_01_apcpna_month_us_1.png The latest March run of the CanSIPS supports the CFS Monthly with drier anomalies for SE Texas for the ...

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 437 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022 .SHORT TERM [Through Tuesday Night]... The high pressure that has been giving us the dry conditions the last few days is now out over the eastern Gulf. An upper level low swinging through Texas will for...

If the 06Z GFS is to be trusted, NW areas of the Houston metro area may see some limited mixed precipitation as the moisture is moving out of the region on Thursday evening...

Flood Watch National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 317 AM CST Mon Jan 31 2022 TXZ195-197-210>212-226-227-235>237-335>337-436-437-312330- /O.NEW.KHGX.FA.A.0001.220131T1400Z-220201T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Burleson-Washington-Colorado-Austin-Waller-Wharton-...

As of 4 am, the 06Z NAM 3km is a little closer to reality in my opinion as compared to the 06Z NAM 12km as of this time with respect to what they're each depicting vs. the current radar reflectivity... nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_4.png download (1).png Btw, the 06Z NAM 3km keeps the highest rainfall ...