Hook echo near Brenham. It is dusk-like dark out there.

Another hook echo near Weimar.

Get prepared, Houston.

Flash Flood Warning issued May 16 at 5:14PM CDT until May 16 at 7:15PM CDT by NWS Houston/Galveston TX FFWHGX The National Weather Service in League City has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Central Brazos County in southeastern Texas... West Central Grimes County in southeastern Texas... *...

Bow echo on the cell SW of here. Houston is right on the vector.

That cell west of us is getting serious and moving SE Tornado Warning issued May 16 at 4:50PM CDT until May 16 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Austin/San Antonio TX At 450 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 8 miles southeast of Giddings, moving southeast at 60 mph. HAZARD....

jasons2k wrote: ↑Thu May 16, 2024 4:32 pmRotation

Those cells really blew up moving toward Huntsville. It was seriously dark when they were over us.

We peaked at a 3 inch/hour rate. Could be another couple hours of 2+ inches/hour.

Update: 4.07 inches of rain so far IMFY.

Looks like entraining from CLL to Austin. We're looking at high river cresting again from the Colorado, Brazos, Trinity in a few days.

Our house sits on high ground on the block. We're fine. The Lagniappe is I've barely had to run the sprinklers this spring.

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatch/images/mcd0276.gif Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0276 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 421 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024 Areas affected...central through southeastern Texas, western Louisiana Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding likely Valid...

One inch an hour stuff coming down.

It's Total Eclipse level dark out there. Be ready folks.

It's rippin'

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/s ... &length=24

We're down to NowCasting. It's not monkeying around out there. We're about to get sandwiched. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KGRK_loop.gif?refreshed=1715834534788 No real complaints about rain now and a ridge is not necessarily good news unless we're north of it. We simply need rain in the...

tireman4 wrote: ↑Wed May 15, 2024 9:20 am Ocean Temperatures 2024

A 2023 without shear in 2024 = Deadly.

This is the way I see this Summer playing out...... Most (rightfully so North of Houston) are complaining about the rain. Don't blame them for a second. Many (south of Houston) are meh....could've used more rain, but at least it wasn't zilch. We are all complaining about the mosquitoes right now, a...

To quote Gomer Pyle: Surprise! Surprise! Surprise! Some cells arrive early to the party. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KGRK_loop.gif?refreshed=1715834534788 Lots of rain headed your way. Wouldn’t be surprised if you get another 5+”. I'd gladly send it your way. Save it for summer up here.

To quote Gomer Pyle: Surprise! Surprise! Surprise! Some cells arrive early to the party.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Wed May 15, 2024 6:05 pm

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Wed May 15, 2024 5:15 pm We may have to watch friday closely for more flooding as some of the mesoscale guidance is starting to show yet another disturbance moving in with more heavy rain behind thursdays system

I noticed that on the HRRR and FV3.

Looks like along the coast - hope it works out for you.

Thursday night in CLL for coverage by the MCS. By Friday the system is moving on out. Cady is more confident in sizable rain totals. We'll see. An extended capping period begins on Saturday. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 400 PM CDT Wed May 15 2024 ...New SHOR...

HRRR's mild showers would be fine.

Looks like a bust below Hwy 79 on the NAM

wpc_excessive_rainfall_dayjh3.us_sc.png Excessive Rainfall Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1201 PM EDT Tue May 14 2024 Day 3 Valid 12Z Thu May 16 2024 - 12Z Fri May 17 2024 ...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FOR PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN...

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Tue May 14, 2024 10:12 am

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Tue May 14, 2024 9:47 am One last Chamber of Commerce Day before more rain and then The Big Suck.

Enjoy! Clear, dry days have been a rarity this Spring.

I’ve had several dry days

But cloudy...