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by DoctorMu
Wed Oct 09, 2024 6:05 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Big *** tornadoes with this thing. So crazy because you need shear for supercells, and you need no shear for hurricanes. Getting the worst of both. That's the rotation of cells interacting with the friction of the land, coupled with an active jet.. It's another angular momentum thing. No surprise e...
by DoctorMu
Wed Oct 09, 2024 6:03 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Cpv17 unfortunately that weakening came too little to late, storm surge will still be at cat 5 levels This is what I don’t understand. How’s that possible when it’s a Cat 3? Love to know the science behind that. Guessing it has something to do with all the momentum that was already built up from wh...
by DoctorMu
Wed Oct 09, 2024 12:37 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Wedge tornadoes - that's not a site you want to see. Hope everyone there stays safe.
by DoctorMu
Tue Oct 08, 2024 7:40 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

or not.

Still looks like the mouth of Tampa Bay to Sarasota.
by DoctorMu
Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:18 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Looks like it...
by DoctorMu
Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:16 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

It should be interesting to see if HWRF and HAFS models drift south at 18z and 0z.
by DoctorMu
Tue Oct 08, 2024 4:08 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

BULLETIN Hurricane Milton Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 400 PM CDT Tue Oct 08 2024 ...MILTON BACK TO CATEGORY 5 STRENGTH... ...FLORIDA RESIDENTS SHOULD GET THEIR FAMILIES AND HOMES READY AND EVACUATE IF TOLD TO DO SO... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMA...
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 8:15 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

897 mb pressure. 184 mph winds.
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 7:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Cromagnum wrote: Mon Oct 07, 2024 5:45 pm Donut of Doom.

Image
This is basically a wedge EF5 tornado with a 4 mile wide donut hole. Hand of God stuff.
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 4:53 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Pas_Bon wrote: Mon Oct 07, 2024 4:06 pm 180 mph?!

Mother of God….
200 mph tonight. Imagine a 4/5 hour EF4 tornado.
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 4:44 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Wxman57s thoughts I'm expecting weakening prior to landfall. Hurricane force sustained wind (75-85 mph) may extend inland just past Tampa. Wind gusts 120-140 mph possible. The most vulnerable part of most homes is the garage door, particularly double-wide doors. During Ike, I set our big garbage bi...
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 1:08 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

175 mph
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 11:11 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

..MILTON RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... 10:55 AM CDT Mon Oct 7 Location: 21.7°N 91.6°W Moving: ESE at 9 mph Min pressure: 925 mb Max sustained: 160 mph I have a bad, bad feeling about this storm Yeah, Helene and Milton are Exhibits A and B on climate change. The eyewall is beast...
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 11:00 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Cromagnum wrote: Mon Oct 07, 2024 9:06 am Already up to Cat 4. Way ahead of schedule.
The GOM is bathwater and there's no shear yet.

Milton, despite the name, is a Beast. It's a CAT5 in reality 155 mph and rising 933 mb and dropping on the pressure.
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 10:57 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2024
Replies: 98
Views: 8741

Re: October 2024

Guys and gals, I'm officially starting the pursuit of my meteorology degree with Mississippi State University. Possibly Spring 2025, Likely Fall 2025. Waiting to see which credits will transfer (if any) from my Bachelor's Degree (Microbiology) from LSU and my Doctorate Degree. I was an O-3 in the U...
by DoctorMu
Mon Oct 07, 2024 10:56 am
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2024
Replies: 98
Views: 8741

Re: October 2024

The weather here has some large temp swings. We've been having daily highs in the low to mid 90's during the daytime.But overnight/early morning the temps have been dropping into the upper 50's. Ah the dry air of the lands west of 35 or 281 depending on personal takes of delineation (also much less...
by DoctorMu
Sun Oct 06, 2024 5:27 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2024
Replies: 98
Views: 8741

Re: October 2024

djmike wrote: Sun Oct 06, 2024 3:36 pm Interesting on Hurricane Kirk in Mid Atlantic. Never seen a track that actually makes it to Europe France/Germany. As of right now London and Paris could be seeing a tropical storm around Wednesday. Thats gotta be rare.
Feeder bands on stun. Kirk out.
by DoctorMu
Sun Oct 06, 2024 5:24 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2024
Replies: 98
Views: 8741

Re: October 2024

While Yucktober largely continues unabated, ironically NE breeze advection courtesy of Milton and Don's vibes have lowered the DP to about 60°F. Doesn't feel as bad vs. this morning...although were still at 92°F. Despite more Texarrakis weather I bought 2 bags of fungicide in preparation for Brown P...
by DoctorMu
Sun Oct 06, 2024 5:20 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion
Replies: 883
Views: 169727

Re: 2024 Hurricane Season Discussion

Milton is ahead of schedule. Even if the trough in the eastern Gulf weaknes it, the strength should be CAT3 with CAT4/5 momentum like Katrina

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jtf_qkggi64
by DoctorMu
Sun Oct 06, 2024 1:30 pm
Forum: Weather Forum
Topic: October 2024
Replies: 98
Views: 8741

Re: October 2024

Kind of weird seeing where Milton is forming and then seeing all the models saying Florida instead of Texas/Louisiana. That's actually a common direction storms take in the gulf in the month of October (even when they develop in the western gulf). Due to the westerlies storms move northeast towards...