What’s up with all the haze outside? Smoke coming from wildfires in Mexico or something? There’s not even any sun out. Just a bunch of overcast skies and haze around. We've had haze for 10 days+. Initially there was an inversion layer and the humid air was trapped and not able to rise. Looks like a...

Models are beginning to look better for some rain further south. The GFS and CMC both look a little better now compared to previous runs and the 12z HRRR has a pretty potent looking MCS moving through early Wednesday morning. I'm not seeing a big trend (just posted the QPF), but hope you are right!

The 12z HRRR provides some hope of rain for SETX (and possibly severe weather) on Tuesday.



NAM halts the festivities at Hwy 1*5. We'll see.

See the NW Flow, Be the flow. Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 628 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday Night) Issued at 251 AM CDT Mon May 27 2024 Key Messages: Excessive Heat Warning in effect until 10 PM tonight for ...

No real change in the models, Mesos as NW flow this week will bring in impulses and some rain - we could use a bit.. Canadian is probably most favorable to the southern tier of the region, except the coast. 40-50% chance of rain Tuesday night - Saturday in CLL. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analys...

?? The Mesos have been gawdawful. The Ensembles agree long term. More of the same until further notice with lower DPs...the good news is that there will be a 30-40% chance of rain from Tuesday onward. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2024052618/gfs-ens_apcpn_us_42.png https://...

Most of the rain for the next 10-14 days still looks like more north of Hwy 79 or 1*5:

NWS has upped our rain chances to 40% beginning Tuesday night Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 637 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday Night) Issued at 415 AM CDT Sun May 26 2024 It`s been a pretty "rinse and repea...

A white cone tornado blew up about 5:20 pm right in front of Reed Timmer in north Texas. Enough to elicit an F-bomb! It was pretty spectacular. TWC naturally was on preprogrammed grok about Canada - not even the Ice Truckers. TWC is practically unwatchable now. There are so many other options these...

Scenes from the middle of the night violent tornadoes in Rogers, Bentonville, AR

https://x.com/WeatherNation/status/1794722656069226875

https://x.com/FishtoolHand/status/1794712804588761417

https://x.com/brianemfinger/status/1794727144633028853

One last hail producing cell 20 miles north of CLL is lurking this morning.

Horrible, violent tornadoes took their toll north of Denton and in NW Arkansas.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Sun May 26, 2024 10:32 am 7 fatalities have been confirmed from the NTX tornado last night

Long lasting and recycling EF-4 tornado

Multiple tornadoes, including an anti-vortex smashed Rogers and Bentonville, AR 1-2 am.

The night tornadoes are the worst.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A1krGBILGxs

A white cone tornado blew up about 5:20 pm right in front of Reed Timmer in north Texas. Enough to elicit an F-bomb! It was pretty spectacular.

TWC naturally was on preprogrammed grok about Canada - not even the Ice Truckers.

Update:

Temp: 96.3°F

DP: 81.7°F (highest I've recorded here so far)

Heat Index: 120.1°F

I guess we're the firehose that will be feeding those tornadic cells in north Texas, OK, KS that are beginning to erupt around the dry line: Temp: 96.1°F DP: 81.1°F Heat Index: 119.3°F https://youtu.be/xeSwrFKFNFw?si=vWyqG0iJyLdhTh8o lol Jason beat me to it as I was linking the SNL hot tub skit.

When you're looking forward to "relief" from MS and LA, you know it's bad. :cry: :lol: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX 558 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Sunday Night) Issued at 355 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024 Hot t...

I'm not sure how that conclusion is drawn. 12z GFS. It will be unsettled - mostly in the same areas.

Stratton20 wrote: ↑Fri May 24, 2024 10:54 pm The ICON shows a potential heavy rain setup wednesday- friday next week, something to watch going forward

Gotta love that NW flow. Hope it sticks around.

These puppies are progged to last until at least midnight.

A hail maker closing in on Buffalo. Wind and smail hail mostly on tap.

Those cells near Athens are taking a right turn. They could be an issue for east Texas, E of I-45 tonight. But I expect them to weaken. There's a lot of instability, which could increase tomorrow. There momentum is toward more unsettled weather over the next couple of weeks. I think the Ensembles ar...