Welp. We've made it to the first college football Sunday without a 100°F day at the College Station airport. That doesn't mean we won't have some version of summer until December - but good enough for now. Sign me up for this every meteorological summer in CLL. We did not receive much rain (maybe a ...

Heavey rainfall at A&M but the donut hold held at home. Maybe a tenth of an inch.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Fri Aug 22, 2025 11:40 am Satellite and stationary front.

Lucy is stationary and will block entry into CLl.

Seabreeze or not Seabreeze?

I'll assume the action will be south of 1*5.

We remained in the donut, and there's a dry slot exit waiting for us. Lucy meets the Red Sea.

The mess is headed towards CoCo. That cell N of the Woodlands is probably going to slide west. NW Harris county could see some strong returns.

Cpv17 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 21, 2025 4:42 pm

DoctorMu wrote: ↑Thu Aug 21, 2025 4:31 pm Still in the donut and the energy is hopping over us, now riding on the outflow. So. Much. Fail.

Lmao it literally skipped right over you. Don’t feel too bad , happens to me all the time.

https://youtu.be/IYRurPB4WA0?si=K5qymerLj9tGeleD

Still in the donut and the energy is hopping over us, now riding on the outflow. So. Much. Fail.

Still in a new, smaller donut. Hoping for a backbuilding miracle.

Welp. On cue - there's the outflow. We'll see if the semi-broken line can hold together.

The donut hole is teasing us and pretending to close...

Preparing for an Outflow and collapse at the doorstep in 3...2...1...

We will be in play in CLL. The models are vacillating on how far the front reaches before stalling.

For now...it appears we're in the massive donut hole.

FROPA next Wednesday could bring highs below 90, then low 90s afterward. We have a weak boundary today and tomorrow that could trigger showers.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Wed Aug 20, 2025 4:27 pm Can see the outflow marching southward.

Yep. We're in full Lucy mode.

GFS 06z is showing some confidence in next week's FROPA. The Euro stalls it in north Texas.

I'd be surprised, but weather in late August can provide unexpected fronts, tropical mischief.

tireman4 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 19, 2025 11:45 amCollin Myers

That's the 0z. The 12z runs are backtracking a bit. Maybe we'll get some rain out of the FROPA.

No rain, but at least it's 10°F cooler than yesterday. So far.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Aug 19, 2025 7:43 am The irony is the NWS had lowered rain chances for today, again at the last minute.

NWS has been miserable at forecasting this year. We're right on the edge of the MCS. We probably won't get much rain if we do at all. Hope others got wet. But it's a sign for the week.

jasons2k wrote: ↑Mon Aug 18, 2025 7:41 pm 101°F at IAH today
99°F here

99°F high at the CLL airport. 101°F IMFY with a heat index of 116°F. Our hottest day of the year. More tomorrow - maybe some rain punches through the Aggiedome?

All I remember about 2007 was that it was a pretty wet summer. 2007 was a wet summer like 2004. 2007 was heading into La Nina. I looked it up. It was 2006. A combination of downed trees after Rita and drought. Pine trees were leveled up to a 100 miles north of Beaumont by Rita. They would have been...

Easterlies are back. While this shower cluster to our east is going full Lucy at the doorstep, it's a sign of unsettled weather to come. Legit chance of rain, clouds, "cooler" weather.