CPC: Temps in the 10+ day outlooks (late in the 6-10 day) and in the 8-14 day... feature not much relief from the heat, but a better chance of rain. On the phone assps, fwiw - a slight chance of rain next weekend and then in the Oct. 22-24 range. I other words, pie in the sky. Unfortunately, that ma...

It’ll probably just put temps near normal. I doubt it’ll be anything of significance. Right, upper 70s for highs...is the last GFS 2 meter I saw. I think we all collectively will take that. :) As long as we get rid of dews in the 70’s, I’m good with it. Yeah, no mas on DPs in the 70s on December 7....

Agreement per Euro, CMC, GFS of a FROPA around the 20th. Canadian has the most enthusiasm. 10 long days until then. It’ll probably just put temps near normal. I doubt it’ll be anything of significance. Right, upper 70s for highs...is the last GFS 2 meter I saw. I think we all collectively will take...

Agreement per Euro, CMC, GFS of a FROPA around the 20th. Canadian has the most enthusiasm. 10 long days until then.

Our last measurable rain was September 1.

At least we have a nice NE wind tonight NE 14. DP is dropping. If it's not going to rain...

I don't understand why we are at risk of flash drought now when its been hot and dry since May. Why wouldn't we have a flash drought in July? Faucet turned off here in September. Faucet turned off here in July after the central Texas floods. Its been hot AF amd dry for 3 months and suddenly local m...

Cromagnum wrote: ↑Tue Oct 07, 2025 4:56 pm I don't understand why we are at risk of flash drought now when its been hot and dry since May. Why wouldn't we have a flash drought in July?

We now live in a desert with occasional flash floods.

That PNA has become a PaiN in the @$$.

Just sayin.' Will be gone tomorrow. So gone. Looks like an Omega block and ridging setting up on GFS, CMC over the next 10-14 days. Texas weather has always had a propensity to get stuck in a pattern or mode. More noticeable in the Fall and to a lesser extent the Spring. We're stuck yet again for n...

jasons2k wrote: ↑Tue Oct 07, 2025 9:03 am We probably won’t have a fall. We’ll go straight to winter. My bet is on 80’s and 90’s the rest of the month then an early freeze. Then lots of fire alert days.

Last Fall was the closest to back in the day. Most years now, Fall has been cancelled.

Just sayin.' Will be gone tomorrow. Well Doc, you, Jason and I know it is a matter of when, not if. Climatology dictates such (decreasing sun/heat hours/cold building up north). Climo always takes a hand, particularly solar angle and length of daytime heating... But we also have a climate trend gum...

Just sayin.' Will be gone tomorrow.

A bright spot, if you will, for the warm October 2004. It actually snowed for Christmas that year for some in the Houston area. An iconic day. CLL was dry slotted, so I drove my kids (just tykes) down to Houston and close to my wife's brother's house. On 290 in NW Travis snowfall began and we stopp...

^ That would be great. So far, this October is another "Groundhog month."

snowman65 wrote: ↑Sat Oct 04, 2025 9:13 am I just have a gut feeling this is going to be a fall/winter to just forget if you like colder weather.

Polar vortex disruptions will be the only saving grace.

NOAA is back up, so that's a partial win. Orange is really Louisiana weatherwise, so that's a another partial win!

Waiting for Godot question:

What happens first?

- FROPA or Rain in SETX

- End of gov. shutdown


Over/under? 20 days, 35?

I was thinking about retiring in 10 years, but it may be closer to 5. I enjoy what we're doing, but the weather/climate change is breaking my will. So...North Carolina or Colorado - whichever we can afford! I'm thinking about near Elon - halfway between the mountains and coast. I remember way back ...

I was thinking about retiring in 10 years, but it may be closer to 5. I enjoy what we're doing, but the weather/climate change is breaking my will. So...North Carolina or Colorado - whichever we can afford! I'm thinking about near Elon - halfway between the mountains and coast. I remember way back i...

Rip76 wrote: ↑Tue Sep 30, 2025 1:27 pm This is so depressing.

KBTX Weather forecast: "More of the Same."

That says it all.

Bleak.

90°F+ until sometime in mid-October

Euro - no relief in sight

CMC - FROPA around the 10th or 11th

GFS -FROPA around the 16th + an ECAP storm spreading moisture.

For the next 10-14 days more Fall Big Suck like last year.