Frosty cold this morning with a low of 33F. I don't like the thought of Texas wildfires. 26°F in Conroe and at freezing IMBY. Bizarre to see trend toward a wildfire risk during a strong El Nino winter and series of deluges during Oct-Dec. I've never been a huge fan about analogs in complex systems,...

On our way to a light freeze around College Station down to Navasota and Conroe tonight and tomorrow. High and dry for the foreseeable and cool to seasonable. Could be worse, but kinda zzzzzzzzzzzzz. We have some desiccation, but nothing's thinking about blooming up here yet. Gardenias and azaleas (...

70°F, sunshine, and a DP of 24°/18% RH in CLL Could not be a better day. Bottle this for the summer! Cool and dry for the remainder of the week with a slight chance of rain Friday night as the Southern Jet twerks with the polar jet. Light freezes possible the next 2 nights in CLL to NW Harris Co and...

Promises. Promises.

Drier and warmer have been the norm. Although Jan was slightly cooler than average in CLL, not much wintry excitement.

Bastardi was right about the East Coast Blizznado...we'll see if he's right on the cold...fingers crossed for disturbances sliding across with good timing.

The 12Z guidance continues to advertise a powerful Southern Rockies/Plains storm system early to mid next week. It's looking like a good possibility of much colder air filtering down from Canada arriving Tuesday with temperatures for morning lows in the upper 20's/low 30's likely Thursday and Frida...

Upper 20s last night near CLL. May need a hard freeze to slow the zika virus spread...but we have a wind switch and warm=up for the remainder of the week. A Chamber of Commerce afternoon though in the Brazos Valley under brilliant sunshine. The surface high slides east with mild weather before a str...

It would be nice for one of these far off scenarios to finally break our way.

I feel like Charlie Brown with Lucy (Bastardi) pulling away the football again...

The overnight ensemble guidance is indicating a rather potent Winter Storm developing around February 1st across the Desert SW/Southern/Central Rockies with a rather vigorous Western trough replacing the zonal split flow that we will experience later this week, Leeside cyclogenesis or a potent surf...

harpman wrote:

srainhoutx wrote:Interesting pattern IF the 12Z Euro is correct...

01242016 12Z Euro 5H 240.png

01242016 12Z Euro 850 240.png

01242016 MJO ECMWF ECMF_phase_51m_small.gif

Can you interpret this?

kill me now.

Conroe came ion at 29° for the low. We had frost, and at the edge of town are a couple of degrees cooler than the airport. Coolish last 3 weeks but not cold by last winter's standards. No hard freezes yet - I like a few to keep the insects down. Surprisingly dryish in the new year up here...but supe...

BlueJay wrote:Maybe I'm overreacting, but I brought in my big potted Boston fern tonight. Brrrrr! Windy and cold out there!!

The low and advection are overperforming.

Temps in the upper 20s tonight in CLL

Another frosty morning in NW Harris County with frost all the way down to the grassy surfaces and car tops this morning. Our next weather maker locally is organizing along the West Coast and will bring a chance of showers and storms mid week mainly across the Eastern half of Texas before wrapping u...

Looks like the chances of anything other than normal "cold" in the next 10 days is gone..no more chances of wintery precip in North Texas as was being predicted even a few days ago....quite the dud of a winter so far This is the case almost all of the time. Rarely does it pan out the way ...

Quick update this morning regarding our sensible weather pattern extending into the MLK Holiday period. The Arctic Oscillation (AO) continues to tank nearing -4 while the Pacific North American (PNA) is holding steady near a +2, but is expected to increase to near +4. The North Atlantic Oscillation...

The cold air is overperforming in CLL (not uncommon with shallow, dense layers), slipping toward 40°F and 30°s... and that tongue of polar air (≥Ice Bowl) is sliding through NE. Should be interesting to see if projected temps are downgraded in TX. I was just contemplating covering plants, but I gue...

The cold air is overperforming in CLL (not uncommon with shallow, dense layers), slipping toward 40°F and 30°s... and that tongue of polar air (≥Ice Bowl) is sliding through NE. Should be interesting to see if projected temps are downgraded in TX.

We were at Hobby around 5:30 pm dropping off family. Not surprised by the reports. This cell was just plain nasty. Lots up draft, shear, evidence of cell rotation. One awesome wall cloud.

The morning Updated Teleconnection Indices and the MJO continue to advertise a pattern capable of delivering a colder and stormier pattern to our Region. We will need to monitor the evolution of these indicators to see if a Hemispheric Pattern Change is truly underway. 01082016 AO ao_sprd2.gif 0108...

Temps have really underperformed in CLL today and tonight. Omen of a cold column when the dam breaks?

snowman65 wrote:that would be very interesting for my trip to N. Alabama....hhmmm

Band - NE Texas through NC. That's long, long way out...