am concerned that the 10 year drought pattern, after a wet early Super El Nino spring last year, will re-affirm its grip (possibly aided by CC) where lows eject with energy to our north and eventually east. We see blustery SW wind and underperforming rain. Tree planting on hold. It is interesting th...

Hardly a drop until the middle of next week.



zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

I was doing some yard work yesterday and noticed that my azaleas are blooming - in February! I've never seen them bloom so early before. I do think we've seen our last freeze (central Houston and south). Note that freezing temps DO NOT kill mosquitoes. Mosquitoes simply are dormant in colder weathe...

Yeah! Can't wait for it to warm up! ;-) Some people just do not like cold, unless the cold brings snow to the area. That group would include me. I don't get people that want cold weather living in the south. That why I stayed down here. Screw the cold and snow. Give me the heat. The cold stuff is f...

We've been very careful over the years to keep politics out of our weather discussions. Let's be mindful of that. There is a reason why we have chosen to keep this Weather Forum strictly weather discussion related. That said one of the best examples I ever heard was presented by Dr. Neil Frank. The...

I can't speak for Jeff. He would need to clarify. It's unclear if he meant strictly 'climate change' or more specifically AGW. We have seen a pattern where there is spike in global temperatures during El Nino events. Then, once El Nino subsides, the temps cool back down but not as much. There is a ...

wxman57 wrote:

redneckweather wrote:I'm sorry, but did Jeff just used the term "Climate Change"? Can you elaborate a bit more on this please?

The climate is always changing - has been for billions of years.

and now humans instead of cyanobacteria are contributing to change.

Incredibly low dew points in the single digits and teens in CLL. Feels great with the sun out and temps rising to the 50s.

Desiccation...hopefully not incineration. May use this as an excuse to test the sprinkler system and see which plastic head pops out of the ground like a geyser.

Yeah, warm, windy, and dry was not what we were looking for post-Tuesday as a part of our strong El Nino winter.

Hoping for a miraculous edging back of the Western ridge...


Tree planting plans on hold.

Frosty cold this morning with a low of 33F. I don't like the thought of Texas wildfires. 26°F in Conroe and at freezing IMBY. Bizarre to see trend toward a wildfire risk during a strong El Nino winter and series of deluges during Oct-Dec. I've never been a huge fan about analogs in complex systems,...

On our way to a light freeze around College Station down to Navasota and Conroe tonight and tomorrow. High and dry for the foreseeable and cool to seasonable. Could be worse, but kinda zzzzzzzzzzzzz. We have some desiccation, but nothing's thinking about blooming up here yet. Gardenias and azaleas (...

70°F, sunshine, and a DP of 24°/18% RH in CLL Could not be a better day. Bottle this for the summer! Cool and dry for the remainder of the week with a slight chance of rain Friday night as the Southern Jet twerks with the polar jet. Light freezes possible the next 2 nights in CLL to NW Harris Co and...

Promises. Promises.

Drier and warmer have been the norm. Although Jan was slightly cooler than average in CLL, not much wintry excitement.

Bastardi was right about the East Coast Blizznado...we'll see if he's right on the cold...fingers crossed for disturbances sliding across with good timing.

The 12Z guidance continues to advertise a powerful Southern Rockies/Plains storm system early to mid next week. It's looking like a good possibility of much colder air filtering down from Canada arriving Tuesday with temperatures for morning lows in the upper 20's/low 30's likely Thursday and Frida...

Upper 20s last night near CLL. May need a hard freeze to slow the zika virus spread...but we have a wind switch and warm=up for the remainder of the week. A Chamber of Commerce afternoon though in the Brazos Valley under brilliant sunshine. The surface high slides east with mild weather before a str...

It would be nice for one of these far off scenarios to finally break our way.

I feel like Charlie Brown with Lucy (Bastardi) pulling away the football again...

The overnight ensemble guidance is indicating a rather potent Winter Storm developing around February 1st across the Desert SW/Southern/Central Rockies with a rather vigorous Western trough replacing the zonal split flow that we will experience later this week, Leeside cyclogenesis or a potent surf...

harpman wrote:

srainhoutx wrote:Interesting pattern IF the 12Z Euro is correct...

01242016 12Z Euro 5H 240.png

01242016 12Z Euro 850 240.png

01242016 MJO ECMWF ECMF_phase_51m_small.gif

Can you interpret this?

kill me now.

Conroe came ion at 29° for the low. We had frost, and at the edge of town are a couple of degrees cooler than the airport. Coolish last 3 weeks but not cold by last winter's standards. No hard freezes yet - I like a few to keep the insects down. Surprisingly dryish in the new year up here...but supe...